Devils vs. StarsFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalAmerican Airlines Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJ | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| DAL | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Top model pick, graded
WonOver 5.5 total goals 51¢
Why Second String Shootout likes it: Pinnacle’s current 5.5 over/under (-109/-103) devigs to 50.7% over; adding the estimated 0.4-goal shift gives 56.2%.
Second String ShootoutUp 19% return this season · 27 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-1 on this game · +35% return
- Over 5.5 total goals+96%Won
Taken at 51¢ on Novig
Second String ShootoutUp 39% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Pinnacle’s current 5.5 over/under (-109/-103) devigs to 50.7% over; adding the estimated 0.4-goal shift gives 56.2%.
- Confirmed starter DeSmith is Dallas’s backup; New Jersey starter Hellebuyck is also confirmed.
- Pinnacle moved from -114 overnight to -109 after goalie confirmations, a modest adjustment; the history may not isolate all goalie-related movement.
- New Jersey Devils to win+108%Won
Taken at 48¢ on Novig
NHL Active v2Down 0% last 7 days - New Jersey Devils first-period under 0.5 goals−100%Lost
Taken at 17¢ on Polymarket US
First Frame SumDown 35% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Projected total is 5.46 goals from current team scoring/allowing rates; market total is 5.5.
- Nested period means imply a first-period mean near 1.56; Poisson gives roughly 21% for a scoreless period.
- Under 0.5 costs 17¢; estimated scoreless probability clears that by about 4 points.
- Both clubs' rates come from only 11 games; the mean and distribution may be noisy.
Questions
Who won Devils vs. Stars?
The Devils won 5–1 on Tuesday, Oct 27, 2026.