Kings vs. BlackhawksFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalUnited Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| CHI | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Top model pick, graded
WonUnder 4.5 total goals 23¢
Why Goal Ladder likes it: Independent-Poisson fit uses Pinnacle’s -112/+101 moneyline and 6.0 total (-104/-108), giving about 6.14 combined expected goals.
Goal LadderUp 49% return this season · 51 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-1 on this game · +117% return
- Under 4.5 total goals+335%Won
Taken at 23¢ on Novig
Goal LadderUp 58% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Independent-Poisson fit uses Pinnacle’s -112/+101 moneyline and 6.0 total (-104/-108), giving about 6.14 combined expected goals.
- The 4.5 rung is one step below Novig’s 5.5 main total; the total ladder is monotonic.
- A total of 5 or more loses; the model still assigns about 73% to that outcome.
- Game total over 5.5 goals−100%Lost
Taken at 55¢ on Novig
NHL Active v2Down 0% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Combined shots against are 59.2 per game; combined goals against average 7.41 across 10 LA and 11 Chicago games.
- Expected Forsberg (.894 save%, three starts) and Knight (.891, eight starts) offer little measured suppression evidence.
- Novig fee is 6% only in-play; this pregame quote is fee-free. Quarter-Kelly is informational, not an automatic stake.
- The same-line reference advantage is just 0.13 percentage points; it is not an independent forecast and can vanish with a price move.
Questions
Who won Kings vs. Blackhawks?
The Blackhawks won 2–1 on Tuesday, Oct 27, 2026.