Updated
FinalMohegan Sun Arena · Uncasville
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 27 | 28 | 21 | 25 | 101 |
| CON | 12 | 31 | 24 | 22 | 89 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total over 163.5 points 60¢
Why WNBA Secret Sauce likes it: Anchor OUT → Connecticut has Brittney Griner, Olivia Nelson-Ododa, and Rayah Marshall listed out; frontcourt defense is depleted.
WNBA Secret SauceUp 1% return this season · 307 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-2 on this game · −44% return
- Game total under 167.5−100%Lost
Taken at −110 on DraftKings
Pace RiotUp 39% last 30 daysWhy it likes it
- Model total: 166.6, 0.9 points below DraftKings’ 167.5.
- Last-five pace: Connecticut 89.0 versus 90.5 season; Minnesota 88.8 versus 91.3.
- Last-five game-total averages: Connecticut 170.6, Minnesota 163.0; blended signal is 166.8.
- A 0.9-point model gap is thin; ordinary shooting variance beats this edge.
- Game total over 163.5 points+67%Won
Taken at 60¢ on Kalshi
WNBA Secret SauceUp 26% last 30 daysWhy it likes it
- Anchor OUT → Connecticut has Brittney Griner, Olivia Nelson-Ododa, and Rayah Marshall listed out; frontcourt defense is depleted.
- Opponent tier: Minnesota is Tier 1 at 31-10 with +8.0 net rating; Connecticut is Tier 4 at 10-31 with −10.6 net rating.
- Model total is 166.6, giving a 3.1-point cushion over the 163.5 contract threshold.
- Griner's injury text says questionable while the latest warehouse status says Out; that live-status conflict remains.
- Connecticut Sun to win−100%Lost
Taken at +1300 on DraftKings
Cheryl SnipesUp 4% over 53 picksWhy it likes it
- WNBA game model has 289 Connecticut and 291 Minnesota rated games, avoiding a thin-rating projection.
- Connecticut has three rest days versus Minnesota's two; neither side is on a back-to-back, and each played once in the prior week.
- Minnesota's recent workload shows negative TS deltas for McBride (−.079) and Miles (−.067), with a compressed latest rotation of 34/34/32/29 minutes.
- The model is timestamped 9/19 5:00 AM PDT and may not fully incorporate today's six Connecticut absences, including Griner and Nelson-Ododa.
Questions
Who won Lynx vs. Sun?
The Lynx won 101-89 on Sunday, Sep 20, 2026.