Updated
Finalcrypto.com Arena · Los Angeles
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POR | 26 | 15 | 24 | 19 | 84 |
| LA | 28 | 32 | 25 | 20 | 105 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total over 177.5 49¢
Why WNBA Secret Sauce likes it: Model total is 185.9, materially above Kalshi’s 177.5-point threshold.
WNBA Secret SauceUp 1% return this season · 307 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-1 on this game · +36% return
- Game total under 176.5−100%Lost
Taken at −110 on FanDuel
Pace RiotUp 39% last 30 daysWhy it likes it
- Last-10 game totals average 171.7 for Portland and 167.3 for Los Angeles.
- Last-10 defensive ratings improved to 98.1 Portland and 90.6 Los Angeles, both better than season marks.
- Portland has seven players listed out and two day-to-day; the depleted offense is not priced into a flat total.
- The warehouse model projects 185.9 points, 9.4 above this number.
- Game total over 177.5+104%Won
Taken at 49¢ on Kalshi
WNBA Secret SauceUp 26% last 30 daysWhy it likes it
- Model total is 185.9, materially above Kalshi’s 177.5-point threshold.
- Filter E fires: doubtful LA frontcourt availability and Portland’s thin roster route this to the full-game Over.
- LA and Portland season scoring environments imply roughly 178 combined points before the matchup-specific model lift.
- Cameron Brink and Dearica Hamby are doubtful, not confirmed out; either returning would improve LA’s defense and rebounding.
- Game total over 177.5 points+104%Won
Taken at 49¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 1% last 30 daysWhy it likes it
- Sparks dictate tempo; their L5 pace is 92.88 versus Portland's 87.74, while Portland's season pace is 91.5.
- season-current offense/defense inputs produce roughly 181.4 points before availability adjustment: POR 95.8 offense vs LA 100.7 defense; LA 95.2 vs POR 101.2.
- Availability-adjusted projection is about 179, still 1.5 points above the 177.5 Kalshi rung.
- Hamby, Brink, and Nye are officially out; Harrison remains day-to-day, so the rotation-sensitive pace/efficiency estimate is uncertain.
Questions
Who won Fire vs. Sparks?
The Sparks won 105-84 on Sunday, Sep 20, 2026.