FinalBobby Dodd Stadium
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MERC | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 11 |
| GT | 7 | 17 | 13 | 7 | 44 |
Top model pick, graded
WonMercer Bears spread +38.5 49¢
Why Key Number CFB likes it: Georgia Tech's 2026 form is -0.02 offensive EPA/play and +0.20 defensive EPA allowed/play; 2026 PFF overall grades favor Mercer 91.8 to 72.8.
Key Number CFBDown 7% this season · 668 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-1 on this game · +2% return
- Mercer Bears spread +38.5+104%Won
Taken at 49¢ on ProphetX
Key Number CFBUp 13% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Georgia Tech's 2026 form is -0.02 offensive EPA/play and +0.20 defensive EPA allowed/play; 2026 PFF overall grades favor Mercer 91.8 to 72.8.
- Mercer QB Jaylen King is listed on the official roster and was identified as the expected starter in a game-day preview; Georgia Tech QB Alberto Mendoza led the latest box score with 40 attempts.
- Most likely loss: Georgia Tech separates early and wins by 39 or more.
- Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 1H spread over 20.5 points−100%Lost
Taken at 39¢ on Kalshi
Early CoverUp 1% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Pinnacle's full-game Georgia Tech −38.5 anchors a first-half mean near +19.25.
- 1,853 college margins give SD 22.04; square-root scaling gives first-half SD 15.59, not 11.02.
- signed +21 occurred 41 times; the 20.5 rung sits immediately before that computed mass point.
- Mercer has no current team-adv rows in the warehouse; the mean is anchored to the sharp full-game line, not a complete two-team model.
Questions
Who won Mercer vs. Georgia Tech?
Georgia Tech won 44-11 on Saturday, Sep 19, 2026.