FinalBrown Field
Butler3-1
33–28Final
Valparaiso1-2
Score by period
Team1234T
BUTL3771633
VALP777728

Top model pick, graded

Won

Game total over 51.5 −114

Why Picks With Pink Grading System likes it: PWP composite grade 71/100: qualifying but narrowly above the 70-point fire bar.

Picks With Pink Grading SystemDown 5% this season · 474 picks

How the picks did

Models went 1-1 on this game · −6% return

  1. Game total over 51.5
    +88%Won

    Taken at −114 on FanDuel

    Why it likes it
    • PWP composite grade 71/100: qualifying but narrowly above the 70-point fire bar.
    • Projected total 59.2, 6.7 points above 52.5 consensus and 7.7 above FanDuel's 51.5.
    • Recent totals cleared 52.5 in 4 of 7 combined games; both teams average above 31 points scored.
    • Butler's 89.4 defensive grade and Valparaiso's 65.5 offense could suppress the weaker side.
  2. Butler Bulldogs spread −9.5
    −100%Lost

    Taken at 44¢ on ProphetX

    Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Butler has scored 47 and 52 points in its two most recent wins, while Valparaiso lost its latest game by 23 points.
    • Single-game ticket; the most likely failure is Butler winning without separating by double digits.
    • The moneyline-versus-spread relationship is not a guaranteed pricing error; favorite-margin variance is substantial.

Questions

Who won Butler vs. Valparaiso?

Butler won 33-28 on Saturday, Sep 26, 2026.