FinalVillanova Stadium
Colgate3-1
28–21Final
Villanova2-2
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COLG | 7 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 28 |
| VILL | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 21 |
Top model pick, graded
WonColgate Raiders to win 41¢
Why CFB Heater likes it: Colgate is 3-1 versus Villanova's 2-2, with latest team grades 90.6 versus 78.8.
CFB HeaterUp 8% return this season · 367 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-3 on this game · −4% return
- Colgate Raiders to win+144%Won
Taken at 41¢ on Polymarket US
2 modelsCFB Heater, Long Way HomeWhy 2 models like it
CFB Heater- Colgate is 3-1 versus Villanova's 2-2, with latest team grades 90.6 versus 78.8.
Long Way Home- Colgate is 3-1 with an 89-44 aggregate score; Villanova is 2-2 and has allowed 126 points.
- Colgate's only loss was 10-13 at Central Michigan; Villanova lost 13-59 at Louisville, exposing a wider defensive downside.
- Four-game samples have uneven opponent quality; the Louisville blowout may be a non-repeatable outlier.
- Game total under 45.5−100%Lost
Taken at −105 on FanDuel
2 modelsKickoff Ledger, Picks With Pink Grading SystemWhy 2 models like it
Kickoff Ledger- Fair total 40.5, five points below FanDuel’s 45.5; endorsed price is -105.
- Colgate’s four games averaged 22.3 points scored and 11.0 allowed; its totals were 38, 45, 23 and 27.
- Four-game scoring samples are thin, and the advanced-efficiency sample is only one game per team.
Picks With Pink Grading System- Simple score blend projects 42.6 points, 2.9 below 45.5 (6.3% projection gap).
- Current-season team-game totals are 6/8 under 45.5 combined; Colgate is 4/4.
- Villanova totals reached 72 and 67 in two of four current games; explosive scoring can break the under.
- Game total under 44.5−100%Lost
Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 days
Questions
Who won Colgate vs. Villanova?
Colgate won 28-21 on Saturday, Sep 26, 2026.