FinalRichardson Stadium (Davidson
Drake0-3
51–32Final
Davidson2-2
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DRAK | 21 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 51 |
| DAVI | 13 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 32 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total over 57.5 54¢
How the picks did
Models went 4-3 on this game · +7% return
- Davidson Wildcats +11.5−100%Lost
Taken at −112 on FanDuel
Kickoff LedgerDown 24% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Davidson averages 22.5 points and 374.5 yards per game; Drake allows 46.33 points and 486 yards.
- Drake averages only 19.67 points and 32.7 rushing yards per game despite 361 passing yards.
- Official previews list Casey Bullock and Riley Warzynski as the expected starting quarterbacks; no relevant injury was reported.
- Drake has a two-week rest edge after its September 12 game, versus Davidson's seven days.
- Game total over 57.5+85%Won
Taken at 54¢ on Polymarket US
CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 days - Game total over 54.5 points+91%Won
Taken at −110 on FanDuel
Kickoff LedgerDown 24% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Offense-defense averaging projects approximately 58, 59 points against FanDuel's 54.5 total.
- Drake has produced 79.3 offensive plays per game; Davidson has produced approximately 75.8 through four games.
- Drake's defense allows 46.33 points per game, creating the clearest path to Davidson scoring efficiently.
- Drake scores only 19.67 points per game, and Davidson allows 29.25, leaving an under path.
- Davidson Wildcats spread +11.5−100%Lost
Taken at −112 on FanDuel
Picks With Pink Grading SystemUp 11% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- PWP Composite Grade 72/100 (B); estimated 58% cover probability versus 52.8% break-even at -112.
- SportsJaw's 28-24 projection gives Davidson a 7.5-point cushion at +11.5.
- Davidson is 2-2 with two straight wins; Drake is 0-3 and has been outscored 139-59.
- Drake's quarterback Riley Warzynski has 1,028 passing yards, and a rebound game could erase the cushion.
- Drake Bulldogs −12 (push at exactly a 12-point win)+108%Won
Taken at 48¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 12-point Drake win returns stake on -12; Drake -11.5 loses that same outcome.
- ProphetX Drake -12 is +107 (48.31c) versus Drake -11.5 at +101 (49.75c): the push option is cheaper, not more expensive.
- Pinnacle's current Drake -12 is +100; ProphetX offers +107, independently confirming the favorable quote.
- point Drake win pushes rather than wins; margins of 13 or more are required for a straight-up cover.
- Game total over 53+64%Won
Taken at 61¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- ProphetX prices over 53 at 60.94¢ (-156) versus over 53.5 at 60.63¢ (-154): only a 0.31-point premium.
- A push is a refund, not a win; totals below 53 still lose the position.
Show all 7 picks
- Davidson Wildcats to win−100%Lost
Taken at 23¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Davidson are 2-1 at home this season; Drake are 0-2 away, with Drake losses by 35 and 42 points.
- Davidson scored 27 and 28 in its two home wins, while Drake has allowed 45 and 56 in its two road games.
- Most likely loss: Drake's stronger schedule and 10.5-point market edge overwhelm Davidson's home split.
Questions
Who won Drake vs. Davidson?
Drake won 51-32 on Saturday, Sep 26, 2026.