FinalRichardson Stadium (Davidson
Drake0-3
51–32Final
Davidson2-2
Score by period
Team1234T
DRAK211014651
DAVI13112632

Top model pick, graded

Won

Game total over 57.5 54¢

CFB HeaterUp 8% return this season · 367 picks

How the picks did

Models went 4-3 on this game · +7% return

  1. Davidson Wildcats +11.5High conviction
    −100%Lost

    Taken at −112 on FanDuel

    Kickoff LedgerDown 24% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Davidson averages 22.5 points and 374.5 yards per game; Drake allows 46.33 points and 486 yards.
    • Drake averages only 19.67 points and 32.7 rushing yards per game despite 361 passing yards.
    • Official previews list Casey Bullock and Riley Warzynski as the expected starting quarterbacks; no relevant injury was reported.
    • Drake has a two-week rest edge after its September 12 game, versus Davidson's seven days.
  2. Game total over 57.5
    +85%Won

    Taken at 54¢ on Polymarket US

    CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 days
  3. Game total over 54.5 points
    +91%Won

    Taken at −110 on FanDuel

    Kickoff LedgerDown 24% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Offense-defense averaging projects approximately 58, 59 points against FanDuel's 54.5 total.
    • Drake has produced 79.3 offensive plays per game; Davidson has produced approximately 75.8 through four games.
    • Drake's defense allows 46.33 points per game, creating the clearest path to Davidson scoring efficiently.
    • Drake scores only 19.67 points per game, and Davidson allows 29.25, leaving an under path.
  4. Davidson Wildcats spread +11.5
    −100%Lost

    Taken at −112 on FanDuel

    Why it likes it
    • PWP Composite Grade 72/100 (B); estimated 58% cover probability versus 52.8% break-even at -112.
    • SportsJaw's 28-24 projection gives Davidson a 7.5-point cushion at +11.5.
    • Davidson is 2-2 with two straight wins; Drake is 0-3 and has been outscored 139-59.
    • Drake's quarterback Riley Warzynski has 1,028 passing yards, and a rebound game could erase the cushion.
  5. Drake Bulldogs −12 (push at exactly a 12-point win)
    +108%Won

    Taken at 48¢ on ProphetX

    House RulesDown 7% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • 12-point Drake win returns stake on -12; Drake -11.5 loses that same outcome.
    • ProphetX Drake -12 is +107 (48.31c) versus Drake -11.5 at +101 (49.75c): the push option is cheaper, not more expensive.
    • Pinnacle's current Drake -12 is +100; ProphetX offers +107, independently confirming the favorable quote.
    • point Drake win pushes rather than wins; margins of 13 or more are required for a straight-up cover.
  6. Game total over 53
    +64%Won

    Taken at 61¢ on ProphetX

    House RulesDown 7% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • ProphetX prices over 53 at 60.94¢ (-156) versus over 53.5 at 60.63¢ (-154): only a 0.31-point premium.
    • A push is a refund, not a win; totals below 53 still lose the position.
Show all 7 picks
  1. Davidson Wildcats to winLong shot
    −100%Lost

    Taken at 23¢ on ProphetX

    Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Davidson are 2-1 at home this season; Drake are 0-2 away, with Drake losses by 35 and 42 points.
    • Davidson scored 27 and 28 in its two home wins, while Drake has allowed 45 and 56 in its two road games.
    • Most likely loss: Drake's stronger schedule and 10.5-point market edge overwhelm Davidson's home split.

Questions

Who won Drake vs. Davidson?

Drake won 51-32 on Saturday, Sep 26, 2026.