FinalMoglia Stadium at Jack Coffey Field
Stony Brook2-2
31–16Final
Fordham1-3
Score by period
Team1234T
STON71401031
FORD763016

Top model pick, graded

Won

Stony Brook/Fordham total under 52.5 55¢

Why Tempo Gap likes it: Current drive samples show 12.0 possessions per team-game for both sides; current pace is 31.85 seconds/play for Fordham and 25.21 for Stony Brook.

Tempo GapUp 5% return this season · 85 picks

How the picks did

Models went 2-1 on this game · +14% return

  1. Stony Brook/Fordham total under 52.5
    +82%Won

    Taken at 55¢ on Polymarket US

    Tempo GapUp 14% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Current drive samples show 12.0 possessions per team-game for both sides; current pace is 31.85 seconds/play for Fordham and 25.21 for Stony Brook.
    • Opponent-adjusted fallback PPD projects 2.35 combined points per possession; raw current PPD is 0.25 Fordham and 1.42 Stony Brook.
    • NWS forecast signals rain with 25, 35 mph winds and gusts near 45 mph, a material possession and explosive-play suppressor.
    • Only 1 current-season advanced row for Stony Brook and 2 for Fordham; prior-season fallback makes this partial, not full, coverage.
  2. Game total under 55
    +59%Won

    Taken at 63¢ on ProphetX

    House RulesDown 7% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • ProphetX quotes under 55 at -170 (62.96¢) versus under 55.5 at -178 (64.03¢): only a 1.07-point price gap for that push option.
    • If the total exceeds 55, the contract loses; exactly 55 is only a push.
  3. Fordham Rams to winLong shot
    −100%Lost

    Taken at 27¢ on ProphetX

    Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • The venue's own board therefore shows substantially deeper actionable interest on the Fordham side, the specific moonshot basis here.
    • no sharp sportsbook row was captured; this is a ProphetX-flow angle, not a devigged sharp-line claim.
    • Most likely loss: Stony Brook's stronger current offensive profile turns Fordham's weak early scoring into a comfortable favorite win.

Questions

Who won Stony Brook vs. Fordham?

Stony Brook won 31-16 on Saturday, Sep 26, 2026.