FinalMoglia Stadium at Jack Coffey Field
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STON | 7 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 31 |
| FORD | 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
Top model pick, graded
WonStony Brook/Fordham total under 52.5 55¢
Why Tempo Gap likes it: Current drive samples show 12.0 possessions per team-game for both sides; current pace is 31.85 seconds/play for Fordham and 25.21 for Stony Brook.
How the picks did
Models went 2-1 on this game · +14% return
- Stony Brook/Fordham total under 52.5+82%Won
Taken at 55¢ on Polymarket US
Tempo GapUp 14% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Current drive samples show 12.0 possessions per team-game for both sides; current pace is 31.85 seconds/play for Fordham and 25.21 for Stony Brook.
- Opponent-adjusted fallback PPD projects 2.35 combined points per possession; raw current PPD is 0.25 Fordham and 1.42 Stony Brook.
- NWS forecast signals rain with 25, 35 mph winds and gusts near 45 mph, a material possession and explosive-play suppressor.
- Only 1 current-season advanced row for Stony Brook and 2 for Fordham; prior-season fallback makes this partial, not full, coverage.
- Game total under 55+59%Won
Taken at 63¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- ProphetX quotes under 55 at -170 (62.96¢) versus under 55.5 at -178 (64.03¢): only a 1.07-point price gap for that push option.
- If the total exceeds 55, the contract loses; exactly 55 is only a push.
- Fordham Rams to win−100%Lost
Taken at 27¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- The venue's own board therefore shows substantially deeper actionable interest on the Fordham side, the specific moonshot basis here.
- no sharp sportsbook row was captured; this is a ProphetX-flow angle, not a devigged sharp-line claim.
- Most likely loss: Stony Brook's stronger current offensive profile turns Fordham's weak early scoring into a comfortable favorite win.
Questions
Who won Stony Brook vs. Fordham?
Stony Brook won 31-16 on Saturday, Sep 26, 2026.