FinalCooper Field
Columbia1-0
20–17Final
Georgetown0-2
Score by period
Team12345T
COLU7307320
GEOR07100017

Top model pick, graded

Won

Game total under 52.5 −122

Why Kickoff Ledger likes it: Columbia averages 40.0 points, but Georgetown averages only 17.5; the matchup's combined scoring baseline is 57.5 before defensive and weather adjustment.

Kickoff LedgerDown 6% this season · 292 picks

How the picks did

Models went 3-3 on this game · −19% return

  1. Game total under 52.5High conviction
    +82%Won

    Taken at −122 on FanDuel

    Kickoff LedgerDown 24% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Columbia averages 40.0 points, but Georgetown averages only 17.5; the matchup's combined scoring baseline is 57.5 before defensive and weather adjustment.
    • Columbia's 524-yard offense faces a Georgetown defense allowing 520 yards, while Georgetown's 271-yard offense faces Columbia's 338-yard defense.
    • Fair total: 48.0 versus FanDuel's 52.5; the 4.5-point gap is reinforced by a forecast of 13-18 mph wind with gusts up to 34 mph.
    • Columbia scored 40 in its only game and Georgetown has allowed 34.5 points per game, so the defensive side of the under is fragile.
  2. Columbia Lions spread −7High conviction
    −100%Lost

    Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX

    House RulesDown 7% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Columbia -7 pushes at exactly a 7-point win; Columbia -7.5 loses.
    • ProphetX self-ladder: Columbia -7 is -105 (51.22¢) versus -7.5 +102 (49.50¢), only a 1.72¢ gap.
    • A margin below 7 loses; exactly 7 only pushes, so it provides no profit.
  3. Columbia Lions @ Georgetown Hoyas total under 51.5Favorite
    +54%Won

    Taken at 65¢ on Polymarket

    CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 days
  4. Columbia Lions spread −6.5
    −100%Lost

    Taken at −106 on FanDuel

    Kickoff LedgerDown 24% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Columbia averages 524 yards and 40.0 points; Georgetown allows 520 yards and 34.5 points through its completed games.
    • Georgetown produces only 271 yards and 17.5 points per game, while Columbia has allowed 338 yards per game.
    • Fair spread: Columbia -10.0 versus FanDuel's -6.5 at -106; the 3.5-point cushion clears the margin requirement.
    • Columbia's efficiency sample is only one completed game; Georgetown's is only two.
  5. Columbia Lions to winFavorite
    +48%Won

    Taken at −210 on DraftKings

    D1 WinnerUp 5% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Columbia’s overall team grade is 90.2 versus Georgetown’s 61.5.
    • Passing grades favor Columbia 93.6 to 58.5; Goodwin and Johnson are both confirmed starters.
    • Coverage grades favor Columbia 80.4 to 48.2, supporting the efficiency and QB/injury family convergence.
    • This FCS market has no usable opening movement or public split data, so the market family does not independently strengthen the call.
  6. Game total over 52 (pushes at exactly 52)
    −100%Lost

    Taken at 44¢ on ProphetX

    House RulesDown 7% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • over 52 pushes at exactly 52; over 52.5 loses at exactly 52.
    • ProphetX prices over 52 and over 52.5 identically at 43.86¢ (+128), granting the whole-number push option for free.
    • Era, rules, and scoring-distribution changes may make historical exact-total mass less representative.

Questions

Who won Columbia vs. Georgetown?

Columbia won 20-17 on Saturday, Sep 26, 2026.