FinalCampus Field
New Hampshire1-3
13–20Final
Sacred Heart0-3
Score by period
Team1234T
NEW373013
SACR3107020

Top model pick, graded

Won

Game total under 44.5 points −122

Why Kickoff Ledger likes it: 44.5 market; weather-adjusted fair total 40.5, 41.5, a 3, 4 point gap.

Kickoff LedgerDown 6% this season · 292 picks

How the picks did

Models went 4-2 on this game · +24% return

  1. Sacred Heart Pioneers to win2 models agree
    +63%Won

    Taken at −158 on FanDuel

    2 modelsD1 Winner, Long Way Home
    Why 2 models like it
    D1 Winner
    • Sacred Heart's official preview lists Poochie Snyder at 66.2% completions and 164.6 passing efficiency.
    • Home opener after three road games; 33:51 time of possession and 158.3 rushing yards per game fit the severe-weather setup.
    • Sacred Heart is still 0-3; a low-scoring game leaves the underdog live despite the efficiency gap.
    Long Way Home
    • The main spread ladder also makes Sacred Heart the small favorite around -2, consistent with the moneyline positioning.
    • Outside prices disagree: DraftKings had Sacred Heart -128 while FanDuel had -110, and no Pinnacle moneyline was posted.
  2. New Hampshire Wildcats to win
    −100%Lost

    Taken at −110 on FanDuel

    CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • FanDuel posts New Hampshire moneyline at -110, while the accepting global Polymarket moneyline shows New Hampshire at 49c.
    • Sportsbooks disagree: DraftKings makes Sacred Heart -128; FanDuel is effectively pick'em at -110 each way.
  3. Game total under 44.5 points
    +82%Won

    Taken at −122 on FanDuel

    Kickoff LedgerDown 24% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • 44.5 market; weather-adjusted fair total 40.5, 41.5, a 3, 4 point gap.
    • NOAA forecast: 90% rain, northeast wind 18, 23 mph with gusts to 40 mph near kickoff.
    • Both starters are named in Sacred Heart’s official preview: Brooks Bentley for UNH and Poochie Snyder for Sacred Heart.
    • New Hampshire’s fast tempo can create enough possessions to overcome the rain, while wind-driven special-teams variance is wide.
  4. Over 44.5 total
    −100%Lost

    Taken at +128 on DraftKings

    Why it likes it
    • 2026 scoring/defense blend projects 52.8 points, 18.7% above the 44.5 line.
    • DraftKings +128 implies 43.9%; Pinnacle devigged fair probability is 44.3%, versus a conservative 59% estimate.
    • No usage or injury charting is on file; late personnel news could materially reduce scoring.
  5. Sacred Heart Pioneers spread −4
    +104%Won

    Taken at 49¢ on ProphetX

    House RulesDown 7% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Sacred Heart -4 pushes on an exactly four-point win; -4.5 loses there.
    • ProphetX prices -4 at +104 versus adjacent -4.5 at +107: only a 3-American-point, 0.71¢ gap for the push option.
    • The warehouse frequency is absolute-margin history and may not equal this matchup's directional four-point probability.

Questions

Who won New Hampshire vs. Sacred Heart?

Sacred Heart won 20-13 on Saturday, Sep 26, 2026.