FinalFisher Stadium
Holy Cross0-4
38–30Final
Lafayette1-2
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOLY | 20 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 38 |
| LAFA | 7 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 30 |
Top model pick, graded
WonHoly Cross Crusaders to win 35¢
Why Long Way Home likes it: 2026 efficiency: Holy Cross posted -0.12 offensive EPA/play and 40.0% success, better than Lafayette's -0.18 and 33.3%.
Long Way HomeDown 4% this season · 3706 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-2 on this game · −5% return
- Game total under 47.5 points−100%Lost
Taken at 48¢ on Polymarket US
Kickoff LedgerDown 24% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Efficiency: Holy Cross posted -0.13 EPA/play and 40.0% success; Lafayette posted -0.18 and 33.3%.
- Rest: Holy Cross last played Sept. 12; Lafayette last played Sept. 5, giving both 14-plus days.
- Same-day preview lists David Lynch and Daniel Lipovski as the expected quarterbacks.
- Lafayette's 23.48-second pace is materially faster than Holy Cross's 27.57, creating extra possessions.
- Game total under 44.5−100%Lost
Taken at 50¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Holy Cross has produced 7 points, -0.12 EPA/play, and a 40.0% success rate in 2026.
- Lafayette has produced 7 points, -0.18 EPA/play, and a 33.3% success rate in 2026.
- Both offenses are at 0.78 or fewer points per drive; the under projection is below the 44.5 threshold.
- Both inputs are one-game 2026 samples against potentially strong opponents.
- Holy Cross Crusaders to win+186%Won
Taken at 35¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 2026 efficiency: Holy Cross posted -0.12 offensive EPA/play and 40.0% success, better than Lafayette's -0.18 and 33.3%.
- Holy Cross also averaged 5.6 yards/pass in 2026 versus Lafayette's 3.5, while both averaged only 2.1 yards/rush.
- 2025 baseline favors the dog: Holy Cross lost 17-19 to Northern Illinois; Lafayette lost 7-26 and 13-45 in its two listed games.
- Holy Cross was beaten 45-7 by Miami (OH), while Lafayette lost 56-7 to UConn; both teams carry severe recent-form volatility.
Questions
Who won Holy Cross vs. Lafayette?
Holy Cross won 38-30 on Saturday, Sep 26, 2026.