FinalRynearson Stadium
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIND | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| EMU | 13 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 29 |
Top model pick, graded
WonEastern Michigan Eagles −24 50¢
Why House Rules likes it: Eastern Michigan -24 pushes on an exact 24-point win; -24.5 loses at that same margin.
How the picks did
Models went 2-3 on this game · −21% return
- Lindenwood Lions spread +24.5−100%Lost
Taken at −108 on BetMGM
Picks With Pink Grading SystemUp 11% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- PWP composite: 74/100 (Grade B), clearing the 70-point fire bar.
- CFB predictor projects Eastern Michigan by 15.1 points versus the 24.5-point market handicap: 9.4 points of cushion.
- BetMGM -108 requires 51.9% to break even; the model-margin gap supports positive expected value on Lindenwood.
- Lindenwood is 1-2 and has been outscored 66-101 this season; a second-half talent gap can erase the cushion.
- Game total over 52−100%Lost
Taken at 53¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Over 52 pushes at exactly 52 total points; over 52.5 loses at that same total.
- ProphetX quotes over 52 at 53.49c (-115) versus over 52.5 at 52.61c (-111), only a 0.88c premium.
- Aggregate exact-total frequency is not a matchup-specific scoring projection; no forecast is being claimed.
- Eastern Michigan Eagles −24+100%Won
Taken at 50¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Eastern Michigan -24 pushes on an exact 24-point win; -24.5 loses at that same margin.
- ProphetX quotes -24 at 50.00c (+100) versus -24.5 at 49.02c (+104), only a 0.98c premium.
- Aggregate CFB margin frequency is not a matchup-specific projection; the exact-24 rate can vary by team and era.
- Game total under 53.5+96%Won
Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Eastern Michigan’s four 2026 games averaged 49.8 combined points; three finished below 53.5.
- Eastern Michigan averaged 16.5 points, 0.01 offensive EPA/play, and 1.33 points per drive across four games.
- Lindenwood’s warehouse sample is only one game; the projection is materially uncertain.
- Lindenwood Lions to win−100%Lost
Taken at 6¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- The same projection makes Eastern Michigan a 15.13-point favorite, 8.88 points short of ProphetX's -24 spread.
- Reference: NO REFERENCE, displayed sharp moneyline prices favor Eastern Michigan and do not corroborate this underdog.
- Most likely loss: Eastern Michigan turns the matchup into an early multi-score game Lindenwood cannot chase.
Questions
Who won Lindenwood vs. Eastern Michigan?
Eastern Michigan won 29-3 on Saturday, Sep 26, 2026.