FinalRynearson Stadium
Lindenwood1-2
3–29Final
Score by period
Team1234T
LIND00303
EMU1363729

Top model pick, graded

Won

Eastern Michigan Eagles −24 50¢

Why House Rules likes it: Eastern Michigan -24 pushes on an exact 24-point win; -24.5 loses at that same margin.

House RulesDown 3% this season · 1403 picks

How the picks did

Models went 2-3 on this game · −21% return

  1. Lindenwood Lions spread +24.5
    −100%Lost

    Taken at −108 on BetMGM

    Why it likes it
    • PWP composite: 74/100 (Grade B), clearing the 70-point fire bar.
    • CFB predictor projects Eastern Michigan by 15.1 points versus the 24.5-point market handicap: 9.4 points of cushion.
    • BetMGM -108 requires 51.9% to break even; the model-margin gap supports positive expected value on Lindenwood.
    • Lindenwood is 1-2 and has been outscored 66-101 this season; a second-half talent gap can erase the cushion.
  2. Game total over 52
    −100%Lost

    Taken at 53¢ on ProphetX

    House RulesDown 7% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Over 52 pushes at exactly 52 total points; over 52.5 loses at that same total.
    • ProphetX quotes over 52 at 53.49c (-115) versus over 52.5 at 52.61c (-111), only a 0.88c premium.
    • Aggregate exact-total frequency is not a matchup-specific scoring projection; no forecast is being claimed.
  3. Eastern Michigan Eagles −24
    +100%Won

    Taken at 50¢ on ProphetX

    House RulesDown 7% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Eastern Michigan -24 pushes on an exact 24-point win; -24.5 loses at that same margin.
    • ProphetX quotes -24 at 50.00c (+100) versus -24.5 at 49.02c (+104), only a 0.98c premium.
    • Aggregate CFB margin frequency is not a matchup-specific projection; the exact-24 rate can vary by team and era.
  4. Game total under 53.5
    +96%Won

    Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX

    Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Eastern Michigan’s four 2026 games averaged 49.8 combined points; three finished below 53.5.
    • Eastern Michigan averaged 16.5 points, 0.01 offensive EPA/play, and 1.33 points per drive across four games.
    • Lindenwood’s warehouse sample is only one game; the projection is materially uncertain.
  5. Lindenwood Lions to winLong shot
    −100%Lost

    Taken at 6¢ on ProphetX

    Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • The same projection makes Eastern Michigan a 15.13-point favorite, 8.88 points short of ProphetX's -24 spread.
    • Reference: NO REFERENCE, displayed sharp moneyline prices favor Eastern Michigan and do not corroborate this underdog.
    • Most likely loss: Eastern Michigan turns the matchup into an early multi-score game Lindenwood cannot chase.

Questions

Who won Lindenwood vs. Eastern Michigan?

Eastern Michigan won 29-3 on Saturday, Sep 26, 2026.