FinalWildcat Stadium (TX)
Mercer2-2
34–17Final
Abilene Christian1-3
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MERC | 7 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 34 |
| ABIL | 14 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 17 |
Top model pick, graded
WonMercer Bears spread +5 47¢
Why House Rules likes it: Mercer +5 pushes when Abilene Christian wins by exactly 5; the adjacent +5.5 wins on that margin.
House RulesDown 3% this season · 1403 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-2 on this game · +4% return
- Game total under 48−100%Lost
Taken at 48¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- ProphetX Total Points under 48 wins below 48, pushes at exactly 48, and loses at 49 or more; the adjacent under 47.5 loses on 48.
- Mercer Bears spread +5+113%Won
Taken at 47¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Mercer +5 pushes when Abilene Christian wins by exactly 5; the adjacent +5.5 wins on that margin.
- ProphetX prices Mercer +5 at 46.51¢ versus 49.26¢ for Mercer +5.5, making the whole rung 2.75¢ cheaper despite its push option.
- A push refunds stake, not profit; Mercer +5 still loses if Abilene Christian wins by 6 or more.
- Mercer Bears spread +5.5+104%Won
Taken at 49¢ on ProphetX
Resting MoneyDown 24% last 7 days - Game total under 48.5−100%Lost
Taken at 49¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- PROJECTION edge: Mercer and Abilene Christian posted negative 2026 offensive EPA/play (-0.13 and -0.22) in their only games.
- Those offenses scored only 11 and 10 points, respectively, against FBS opponents; current form points toward a low-scoring game.
- Pinnacle also shows 48.5 under at -102; ProphetX offers the same line at +103.
- Only one 2026 game per team; the EPA and points-per-drive samples are extremely thin.
Questions
Who won Mercer vs. Abilene Christian?
Mercer won 34-17 on Saturday, Sep 26, 2026.