FinalStewart Stadium
Portland State0-4
44–41Final
Weber State2-2
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PORT | 21 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 44 |
| WEBE | 7 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 41 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total over 64.5 −116
Why Picks With Pink Grading System likes it: 71.5-point blended recent-scoring projection is 10.9% above the 64.5 line.
Picks With Pink Grading SystemDown 5% this season · 474 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-3 on this game · −24% return
- Game total over 64.5+86%Won
Taken at −116 on DraftKings
Picks With Pink Grading SystemUp 11% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 71.5-point blended recent-scoring projection is 10.9% above the 64.5 line.
- Each team has gone over 64.5 in 3 of its 4 current-season games; combined rate is 6 of 8.
- Both teams have produced three straight games above 64.5 entering this matchup.
- Only four current-season games per team; this is not a full 10-game sample.
- Portland State +7.5 spread+96%Won
Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 days - Weber State Wildcats to win−100%Lost
Taken at −310 on FanDuel
Quantitative +EV AnalystUp 4% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Weber's 86.1 PFF overall grade is 30.9 points above Portland State's 55.2.
- Weber defense grades 79.6 versus 50.1; charted defensive EPA allowed is 0.00 versus Portland State's 0.38.
- Weber is 2-2 with a -6 point differential; Portland State is 0-4 with a -148 differential.
- Weber's charted offensive EPA is -0.33, so the favorite can fail to separate despite the matchup edge.
- Game total under 64−100%Lost
Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- under 64 wins at 63 or fewer, pushes at exactly 64, loses at 65+.
- ProphetX prices under 63.5 at 50.25¢ and under 64 at 50.74¢: only a 0.49-point separation.
- Only exactly 64 pushes; totals of 65 or more lose outright.
- Game total under 62.5−100%Lost
Taken at 48¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Portland State's 2026 offense averages -0.33 EPA/play and 0.71 points per drive through two pregame games in the warehouse window.
- Weber State's offense is also below zero at -0.09 EPA/play, limiting the case for a sustained shootout despite its home edge.
- Single-leg ticket; no parlay quote or combination tax applies.
- Portland State and Weber State have combined recent game totals of 55, 70, 84 and 59, 89, 73; the short historical sample leans volatile and often high.
Questions
Who won Portland State vs. Weber State?
Portland State won 44-41 on Saturday, Sep 26, 2026.