Southern Illinois vs. South DakotaFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalThe DakotaDome
Southern Illinois3-3
10–31Final
South Dakota4-2
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOUT | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| SOUT | 7 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 31 |
Top model pick, graded
WonSouth Dakota Coyotes to win −348
Why Brewing CFB Moneylines likes it: Historical 2024-26 sample: 264 DK home favorites priced -250 to -450 went 203-61 (76.9%) for +0.51 units per bet.
Brewing CFB MoneylinesUp 5% return this season · 40 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-2 on this game · −57% return
- Southern Illinois Salukis +10.5−100%Lost
Taken at 54¢ on Polymarket US
Picks With Pink Grading SystemUp 11% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- South Dakota is only 3-2 in its last five, including a 19-point loss at Youngstown State; the matchup is less one-sided than the 4-2 record suggests.
- The indoor DakotaDome removes weather as an added source of downside variance.
- South Dakota owns the stronger profile: 92.0 overall PFF grade versus 73.4 for Southern Illinois, with a 90.4 coverage grade.
- Game total over 58.5−100%Lost
Taken at 46¢ on Kalshi
CFB HunterV2Up 0% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Model projects 59.4 total points: South Dakota 32.4, Southern Illinois 27.0.
- South Dakota averages 39.0 points and cleared 58.5 in 5 of 6 current-season games.
- The DakotaDome is indoors, removing weather-driven downside from the scoring estimate.
- Southern Illinois has exceeded 58.5 only once in six current-season games; its latest output was 16 points.
- South Dakota Coyotes to win+29%Won
Taken at −348 on DraftKings
Brewing CFB MoneylinesUp 21% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Historical 2024-26 sample: 264 DK home favorites priced -250 to -450 went 203-61 (76.9%) for +0.51 units per bet.
- South Dakota leads current team grades 92.0-73.4, including offense 81.3-62.8 and defense 89.3-78.9.
- Official previews identify Austyn Modrzewski as South Dakota's starter and DJ Williams as Southern Illinois' returning quarterback; neither source reports a QB injury.
- South Dakota -348 carries a 77.7% raw break-even rate, so the model margin over the executable price is only about 0.8 points.
Questions
Who won Southern Illinois vs. South Dakota?
South Dakota won 31-10 on Saturday, Oct 10, 2026.