Stetson vs. St. ThomasFinal score and model picks, graded

FinalO'Shaughnessy Stadium

Stetson1–4

21–64Final

St. Thomas4–2

Score by period
Team	1	2	3	4	T
STET	7	0	0	14	21
ST	14	22	21	7	64

Top model pick, graded

Won

Game total over 53.5 48¢

Why Picks With Pink Grading System likes it: Simple offense/defense blend projects 60.3 total points, 12.7% above the 53.5 line.

Picks With Pink Grading SystemDown 5% this season · 474 picks

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How the picks did

Models went 2-3 on this game · −37% return

Game total over 53.5
+108%Won
Taken at 48¢ on Polymarket US
Picks With Pink Grading SystemUp 11% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- Simple offense/defense blend projects 60.3 total points, 12.7% above the 53.5 line.
- Over 53.5 in 3 of Stetson's 5 games and 5 of St. Thomas's 6 games (8 of 11 combined).
- St. Thomas allowed 55 points last week; Stetson allowed 39.2 points per game through five.
- Thin sample: Stetson has only five games and St. Thomas six; opponent quality is uneven.
Game total under 52.5
−100%Lost
Taken at 54¢ on Kalshi
CFB HunterV2Up 0% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- Stetson averages 18.2 points and posted -0.285 offensive EPA/play in its latest charted game.
- The current-season average total is 50.9 points, 1.6 below this contract threshold.
- St. Thomas averages 32.7 points and has scored 50 or more twice this season.
St. Thomas Tommies to winFavorite
+8%Won
Taken at 93¢ on Kalshi
CFB HunterV2Up 0% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- 79.5 vs 65.2 overall team grade, with St. Thomas ahead in defense and run blocking.
- Only a 1.5-point model edge; the market is efficient around a near-certain favorite.
Game total under 50.5
−100%Lost
Taken at 47¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- PROJECTION; SHARP REFERENCE, current-season scoring blend is 14.0 Stetson points plus 35.5 St. Thomas points, or 49.5 against 50.5.
- Pinnacle's 49.5 total with Under +107 backs the low-scoring direction; ProphetX gives one extra point at +113.
- Most likely loss: St. Thomas converts explosive plays or short fields and Stetson adds garbage-time scores, reaching 51.
Stetson Hatters spread +21.5
−100%Lost
Taken at 52¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- St. Thomas has a wide current-season margin range: -34, +2, +33, +42, and +6; the market is pricing the upper tail near 22 points.
- Stetson's official preview reports 342.6 total yards per game and 299-plus yards in each of its last four, giving it a plausible backdoor-cover path.
- Most likely loss: St. Thomas reproduces its efficient home performances and wins by 23 or more.

Questions

Who won Stetson vs. St. Thomas?

The St. Thomas won 64–21 on Saturday, Oct 10, 2026.