Davidson vs. PresbyterianFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalBailey Memorial Stadium
Davidson2–4
21–38Final
Presbyterian2–3
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAVI | 14 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| PRES | 12 | 20 | 0 | 6 | 38 |
Top model pick, graded
WonPresbyterian Blue Hose to win 84¢
Why CFB HunterV2 likes it: 87% model probability versus Kalshi's 84¢ YES price: +3 percentage points.
CFB HunterV2Down 13% this season · 270 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-1 on this game · +9% return
- Presbyterian Blue Hose to win+19%Won
Taken at 84¢ on Kalshi
CFB HunterV2Up 0% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 87% model probability versus Kalshi's 84¢ YES price: +3 percentage points.
- Presbyterian grades slightly better overall, with a 63.2 defense grade versus Davidson's 59.9.
- Latest quarterback form favors Presbyterian: Sharpe had 358 yards and 5 TDs; Bullock had 4 interceptions.
- Davidson beat Presbyterian 14-13 last season, so rivalry-upset risk is genuine.
- Game total under 56.5−100%Lost
Taken at 52¢ on ProphetX
Key Number CFBUp 13% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- CFB total histogram: 56 occurred 185 times and 57 occurred 203 times in 11,089 regular/postseason games; the rung correction is not plausibly 5.83 points.
- Presbyterian's offense is +0.1369 EPA/play, but Davidson is only +0.0047 and allows +0.3324 defensive EPA allowed; the favorite-control script supports staying below 57.
- QB gate cleared: latest box leaders are Davidson's Casey Bullock (46 attempts) and Presbyterian's Landon Sharpe (30); live official checks identify both with no status concern.
- Most likely loss: Presbyterian's strong offense exploits Davidson's +0.3324 defensive EPA allowed and pushes the total to 57 or higher.
- Game total over 57.5+108%Won
Taken at 48¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- a conservative two-game scoring blend remains above 57.5 after discounting the tiny, opponent-unequal sample.
- Davidson's two 2026 games totaled 77 and 49 points; Presbyterian's totaled 76 and 49, showing a high-variance scoring environment.
- The direction is reinforced by the latest efficiency extremes: Presbyterian posted +0.3247 offensive EPA/play while Davidson allowed 63 points.
- Most likely loss: Davidson repeats its 14-point offensive output and Presbyterian's 7-point showing, leaving the game under 57.5.
Questions
Who won Davidson vs. Presbyterian?
The Presbyterian won 38–21 on Saturday, Oct 10, 2026.