Central Arkansas vs. Abilene ChristianFinal score and model picks, graded

FinalWildcat Stadium (TX)
Central Arkansas2–3
14–20Final
Abilene Christian2–4
Score by period
Team1234T
CENT007714
ABIL3143020

How the picks did

Models went 0-3 on this game · −100% return

  1. Abilene Christian Wildcats spread −9.5
    −100%Lost

    Taken at 53¢ on ProphetX

    DriftUp 11% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Current-season efficiency favors ACU: +0.017 offensive EPA/play and +0.149 defensive EPA allowed versus Central Arkansas at -0.042 and +0.427.
    • ACU averages 20.7 points and 46.1% success across three games; Central Arkansas has 7.0 points and 46.1% success in its one-game sample.
    • Official UCA preview names Donovyn Omolo and Tucker Parks as the expected quarterbacks, resolving the personnel gate.
    • Most likely loss: ACU wins but fails to clear nine points, with the game landing on the key-number margin.
  2. Abilene Christian spread over 9.5
    −100%Lost

    Taken at 53¢ on Kalshi

    CFB HunterV2Up 0% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • ACU's 2026 defense grade is 77.1 versus Central Arkansas's 72.3.
    • ACU's latest result was a 35-7 win; Central Arkansas's latest was a 34-7 loss.
    • Only one Central Arkansas game has complete advanced EPA data; the sample is extremely thin.
  3. Central Arkansas Bears to winLong shot
    −100%Lost

    Taken at 25¢ on ProphetX

    Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Central Arkansas is 2-3 with a -4.4 average margin; Abilene Christian is 2-4 at -6.0 despite home field.
    • UCA's official preview lists QB Donovyn Omolo at 809 passing yards and 6 TDs, versus ACU's Tucker Parks at 563 and 5.
    • UCA's 2-3 record includes a 36-24 win at UT Martin and a 59-20 win over Central Oklahoma; the market prices ACU as a 75.6% favorite.
    • ACU is at home and just beat West Florida 35-7, while UCA lost to West Florida 42-14.

Questions

Who won Central Arkansas vs. Abilene Christian?

The Abilene Christian won 20–14 on Saturday, Oct 10, 2026.