Northern Colorado vs. Eastern WashingtonFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalRoos Field
Northern Colorado2–4
22–31Final
Eastern Washington1–5
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NORT | 0 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 22 |
| EAST | 14 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 31 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total under 59.5 53¢
Why CFB HunterV2 likes it: Model: 57% under 59.5 versus 53% implied by the 53¢ Kalshi NO price (+4 points).
CFB HunterV2Down 13% this season · 270 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-4 on this game · −62% return
- Northern Colorado Bears to win−100%Lost
Taken at 32¢ on Polymarket US
2 modelsCFB Heater, Long Way HomeWhy 2 models like it
CFB Heater- Northern Colorado has the slightly better current record and team grade, while Eastern Washington allows 0.3025 EPA per play defensively.
Long Way Home- Northern Colorado has allowed 23.3 points per game versus Eastern Washington's 42.7 through three 2026 games.
- Eastern Washington's defense has allowed +0.254 EPA/play, while Northern Colorado's defense is materially better at +0.135 EPA/play allowed.
- Most likely loss: Eastern Washington's home offense exploits Northern Colorado's weaker offense and wins by multiple scores.
- Northern Colorado Bears +6.5−100%Lost
Taken at +100 on FanDuel
Picks With Pink Grading SystemUp 11% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Own blended projection makes Eastern Washington a roughly 1-point favorite, versus the posted 6.5.
- Northern Colorado is 2-4 with a -2.7 average margin; Eastern Washington is 1-5 with a -10.3 margin.
- Northern Colorado’s 2026 PFF overall grade is 78.6 versus Eastern Washington’s 78.0; Bears defense grades 79.0 versus 71.7.
- Northern Colorado allowed 36 points last week, and Eastern Washington has home-field advantage.
- Game total under 59.5+89%Won
Taken at 53¢ on Kalshi
CFB HunterV2Up 0% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Model: 57% under 59.5 versus 53% implied by the 53¢ Kalshi NO price (+4 points).
- Current-season charted teams average 48.3 combined points; recent five-game totals average 56.6.
- Northern Colorado allows 23.3 points per game in the charted 2026 sample; EWU's 42.7 allowed is inflated by volatile shootouts.
- EWU's last five games averaged 66.2 total points and its fast pace can create a backdoor over.
- Northern Colorado Bears spread +6.5−100%Lost
Taken at 48¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Current-season defense signal: EWU allowed +0.4544 EPA/play last game; Northern Colorado allowed +0.2766.
- Form supports a tighter projection: EWU is 1-4 over its last five, while Northern Colorado is 2-3.
- Most likely loss: Eastern Washington's +0.2378 offensive EPA/play last game translates into a 7-plus-point home win.
Questions
Who won Northern Colorado vs. Eastern Washington?
The Eastern Washington won 31–22 on Saturday, Oct 10, 2026.