Furman vs. Tennessee TechFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalTucker Stadium
Furman2–4
15–20Final
Tennessee Tech4–1
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FURM | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 |
| TENN | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 20 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total under 45.5 −132
Why Kickoff Ledger likes it: Furman averages -0.138 offensive EPA/play, 40.8% success, and 1.04 points per drive through three games.
Kickoff LedgerDown 6% this season · 292 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 3-1 on this game · +40% return
- Game total under 45.5+76%Won
Taken at −132 on DraftKings
Kickoff LedgerDown 24% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Furman averages -0.138 offensive EPA/play, 40.8% success, and 1.04 points per drive through three games.
- Tennessee Tech's offense is only -0.038 EPA/play overall and scored 20 points in its latest game; both defenses face a low-efficiency opponent.
- National Weather Service: east-northeast wind 15, 20 mph, gusts to 35 mph, and 90% pre-2 p.m. shower/thunderstorm odds.
- Tennessee Tech's 13.1% explosive-play rate and 2.44 season points per drive can beat the total with a few chunk plays.
- Furman Paladins spread +13.5+91%Won
Taken at −110 on FanDuel
Picks With Pink Grading SystemUp 11% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- PWP Composite Grade 76/100: Furman covered +13.5 in 4 of its last 5 games.
- Projected margin is Tennessee Tech by about 7.5, roughly 6 points better than the posted spread.
- Furman owns the stronger 2026 defensive grade, 86.3 versus Tennessee Tech's 78.0.
- Tennessee Tech is 4-1 this season and has won four straight entering the matchup.
- Furman Paladins +13.5+92%Won
Taken at 52¢ on Novig
CFB HunterV2Up 0% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Model probability 56% versus Novig’s 51.5¢ takeable price: +4.5 probability points.
- Tennessee Tech’s 4-1 start is tempered by its latest 20-44 loss; Furman’s defense grade is 86.3 versus 78.0.
- Tennessee Tech’s 74.5 passing grade meets a 28.2 pass-block grade; forecast gusts up to 35 mph add downside.
- Furman’s offense EPA/play is -0.1857, and its 2-4 record leaves little margin for offensive correction.
- Game total over 45.5−100%Lost
Taken at 52¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Tennessee Tech averages 31.0 points and Furman allows 33.7; Furman averages 14.3 and Tennessee Tech allows 41.0.
- The opponent-adjusted blend projects 32.3 plus 27.7, or 60.0 points, 14.5 above the 45.5 line.
- The edge is projection-only; no same-line sharp reference supports the over.
- Most likely loss: Furman's offense remains near 14.3 points and Tennessee Tech's defensive allowance is inflated by weak opponents.
Questions
Who won Furman vs. Tennessee Tech?
The Tennessee Tech won 20–15 on Saturday, Oct 10, 2026.