Long Island University vs. DuquesneFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalArthur J. Rooney Athletic Field
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LONG | 3 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 17 |
| DUQU | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
Top model pick, graded
WonLong Island University Sharks to win 41¢
CFB HeaterUp 8% return this season · 367 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 3-1 on this game · +71% return
- Long Island University Sharks to win+144%Won
Taken at 41¢ on Polymarket US
2 modelsCFB Heater, Long Way HomeWhy 2 models like it
CFB Heater- LIU is 1-5 with an average recent margin of -17.7; Duquesne is at home and has a stronger recent defensive profile.
Long Way Home- LIU's latest 2026 efficiency row was positive offensively (+0.0302 EPA/play) in a 27-24 win, while Duquesne's results are volatile after losses by 34 and 41 points.
- Duquesne is the home favorite and the broader market centers near 60% for the Dukes.
- Duquesne Dukes to win−100%Lost
Taken at 60¢ on Kalshi
CFB HunterV2Up 0% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Duquesne current-season defense allows -0.008 EPA/play; LIU allows +0.208.
- Duquesne averages 20.0 points; LIU averages 12.0 and allows 31.7 points.
- Weather is unlikely to dominate: mostly cloudy with southeast wind near 7, 11 mph and no daytime rain signal.
- Only three charted current-season games per team; opponent-adjustment uncertainty is material.
- Game total under 45.5+96%Won
Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- LIU scored 27, 3, and 6 in its three current-season games; Duquesne scored 53, 7, and 0, producing a volatile but under-shaped matchup.
- A conservative offense/defense blend, discounting Duquesne’s 53-point Rio Grande outlier, projects roughly 43, 44 points.
- The ProphetX price remains better than the same-line sharp reference; this is a projection-versus-number claim, not a payout-size claim.
- Most likely loss: Duquesne reproduces its 53-point FCS outburst against LIU’s defense, putting the total over by itself.
Questions
Who won Long Island University vs. Duquesne?
The Long Island University won 17–14 on Saturday, Oct 10, 2026.