Eastern Illinois vs. Gardner-Webb Runnin'Final score and model picks, graded
FinalErnest W. Spangler Stadium
Eastern Illinois1–4
21–7Final
Gardner-Webb Runnin'2–4
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EAST | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 21 |
| GARD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total under 49.5 62¢
Heater Two-HourDown 9% this season · 145 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 4-2 on this game · +27% return
- Game total under 46.5+94%Won
Taken at −106 on FanDuel
2 modelsKickoff Ledger, Long Way HomeWhy 2 models like it
Kickoff Ledger- EIU averages -0.100 offensive EPA/play, 31.7% success and 7.0 points; Gardner-Webb defense allows +0.042 EPA/play.
- Gardner-Webb averages 23.3 points and 41.5% success, while EIU allows 50.5 points and +0.332 defensive EPA/play.
- Gardner-Webb can reach 30-plus points, and EIU's poor defense creates short-field and explosive-score risk.
Long Way Home- The projection uses only five combined advanced team-game rows; opponent quality and roster changes are incompletely known.
- Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs −14−100%Lost
Taken at 47¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Gardner-Webb -14 pushes on an exact 14-point win; adjacent -14.5 loses on that same result.
- ProphetX quotes -14 at +113 versus -14.5 at +109: the push-protected rung pays four American points more.
- Gardner-Webb winning by 13 or fewer loses; this desk has no projection edge on the game margin.
- Game total under 49.5+61%Won
Taken at 62¢ on Polymarket US
Heater Two-HourUp 17% last 7 days - Eastern Illinois Panthers under 45.5 total points+93%Won
Taken at −108 on FanDuel
Picks With Pink Grading SystemUp 11% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- PWP Composite Grade: 71/100 (Grade B).
- Projected total 41.0, 4.5 points below the 45.5 line (9.9% projection gap).
- Eastern Illinois averages 18.0 points across five 2026 games and produced 7 or fewer in two of its last three.
- The combined recent under trend is weak: Eastern Illinois went under 45.5 only once in its latest five totals.
- Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs to win−100%Lost
Taken at 82¢ on Kalshi
CFB HunterV2Up 0% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Model: Gardner-Webb wins 86%; Kalshi NO-side cost implies 82%.
- Gardner-Webb leads current-season grades 72.8, 53.2 overall and 85.4, 58.7 defensively.
- Recent EPA: Gardner-Webb defense allows 0.042 EPA/play versus Eastern Illinois at 0.332.
- Four-point probability edge is modest; Gardner-Webb is only 2-4 this season.
Questions
Who won Eastern Illinois vs. Gardner-Webb Runnin'?
The Eastern Illinois won 21–7 on Saturday, Oct 10, 2026.