Jackson State vs. GramblingFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalEddie G. Robinson Memorial Stadium
Jackson State5–0
38–45Final
Grambling3–2
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JACK | 14 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 38 |
| GRAM | 7 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 45 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total over 54.5 56¢
Why Picks With Pink Grading System likes it: Projected total 64.6: Jackson State 37.5, Grambling 27.1 from current scoring and defensive form.
Picks With Pink Grading SystemDown 5% this season · 474 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 4-3 on this game · +34% return
- Game total over 54.5+79%Won
Taken at 56¢ on Kalshi
2 modelsPicks With Pink Grading System, CFB HunterV2Why 2 models like it
Picks With Pink Grading System- Projected total 64.6: Jackson State 37.5, Grambling 27.1 from current scoring and defensive form.
- Six of the teams' last 10 games cleared 54.5; combined average total was 64.6.
- Grambling quarterback RJ Johnson III is out; a backup rotation may reduce offensive efficiency.
CFB HunterV2- Jackson State and Grambling average 39.8 and 36.2 points per game this season, respectively.
- Grambling's latest three charted games allowed 0.3295 EPA/play and 47.7 points per game.
- Grambling starting QB RJ Johnson III remains out; the replacement two-QB setup could reduce offensive efficiency.
- Under 55.5 total points−100%Lost
Taken at 45¢ on Polymarket
CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 days - Jackson State Tigers over 55.5 total−100%Lost
Taken at 56¢ on Polymarket US
Heater Two-HourUp 17% last 7 days - Jackson State Tigers to win−100%Lost
Taken at 76¢ on Kalshi
D1 WinnerUp 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Recent per-play window: Jackson offense +0.1004 EPA/play; Grambling offense -0.0306.
- Grambling’s defense allowed +0.3741 EPA/play in the recent charted window versus Jackson’s +0.0085.
- Grambling’s official preview confirms starting QB RJ Johnson III remains out; Robinson/Frye continue the two-QB setup.
- Jackson’s recent per-play sample is thin: only two charted games for Jackson and three for Grambling.
- Game total over 55.5+82%Won
Taken at 55¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Jackson State averages 33.0 points and Grambling 28.0 through the current-season sample: a 61.0-point combined scoring baseline.
- Grambling's defense has allowed 47.7 points per game and +0.3295 defensive EPA/play across three 2026 games, creating a favorable scoring matchup.
- Jackson State's offense is stronger at +0.1541 EPA/play and 44.4% success versus Grambling's +0.0404 and 40.9%; my win estimate is 59%.
- Most likely loss: Jackson State's defense, allowing 22.5 points per game, suppresses Grambling and a second-half lead creates a clock-killing script.
- Grambling Tigers to win+300%Won
Taken at 25¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- The projection discounts the 7-63 TCU result: Grambling also produced 63 points against Alcorn and faces Jackson State at home.
- Most likely loss: Jackson State's stronger defense controls the game while Grambling's defense, allowing 47.67 points per measured game, gives up too many drives.
Questions
Who won Jackson State vs. Grambling?
The Grambling won 45–38 on Saturday, Oct 10, 2026.