Utah Tech vs. Portland StateFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalHillsboro Stadium
Utah Tech0–6
14–30Final
Portland State1–4
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 14 |
| PORT | 7 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 30 |
Top model pick, graded
WonPortland State spread −3 53¢
Why House Rules likes it: Portland State -3.5 has the identical 4+ win state at 75.31¢ (-305); the whole rung is offered at 53.05¢ (-113).
House RulesDown 3% this season · 1401 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-4 on this game · −62% return
- Portland State spread −3+89%Won
Taken at 53¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Portland State -3.5 has the identical 4+ win state at 75.31¢ (-305); the whole rung is offered at 53.05¢ (-113).
- This is not a projection; Portland State must still win by 4+ for the ticket to win.
- Portland State Vikings to win−100%Lost
Taken at 59¢ on Polymarket US
Heater Two-HourUp 17% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Both entered around 11:11 PM at 65¢, 70¢; the current US NO price is 59¢, so the market has not followed their side.
- Both positions are marked below entry, so the signal may simply be wrong rather than a lagging market.
- Game total over 61.5 points−100%Lost
Taken at 49¢ on Kalshi
CFB HunterV2Up 0% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Model probability 56%, above Kalshi's 49¢ Over 61.5 contract by 7 points.
- Opponent-adjusted scoring baseline is 66.7 points from each offense's scoring average and opposing defense's points allowed.
- Recent game totals average 60.0 for Utah Tech and 73.4 for Portland State across their current-season schedules.
- Utah Tech averages only 15.0 points and Portland State 22.2, so the baseline may overstate offensive conversion.
- Utah Tech Trailblazers to win−100%Lost
Taken at 42¢ on Kalshi
CFB HunterV2Up 0% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Model probability 44.5%, above Kalshi's 42¢ Utah Tech contract by 2.5 points.
- Utah Tech posts +0.0665 EPA/play, 43.1% success and 12.1% explosiveness; Portland State is negative in all three.
- Utah Tech's 65.0 team grade and 64.1 run-defense grade exceed Portland State's 61.6 and 60.6.
- Utah Tech is 0-6, while Portland State is 1-4 and has home-field advantage.
- Utah Tech Trailblazers spread +3.5−100%Lost
Taken at 66¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- The spread-versus-moneyline gap is unusually large for a 3.5-point favorite, creating a structural case to fade the spread favorite.
- Both teams have poor recent warehouse form, Portland State 1-4, -29.0 average margin; Utah Tech 0-5, -25.2, supporting a close-game script rather than a dominant favorite.
- Most likely loss: Portland State converts the market's apparent margin signal into a win by four or more.
Questions
Who won Utah Tech vs. Portland State?
The Portland State won 30–14 on Saturday, Oct 10, 2026.