UConn vs. TempleFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalLincoln Financial Field
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONN | 14 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 34 |
| TEM | 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 20 |
Top model pick, graded
WonUConn Huskies vs. Temple Owls over 53.5 total points 56¢
Why CFB Heater likes it: Recent form supports scoring: combined teams average 61.8 points across their last five games.
CFB HeaterUp 8% return this season · 367 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 8-1 on this game · +83% return
- UConn Huskies spread +3.5+100%Won
Taken at 50¢ on Polymarket US
2 modelsHeater Two-Hour, Kickoff LedgerWhy 2 models like it
Heater Two-Hour- A Temple win by four or more beats the ticket; late availability news or a sharp line move could invalidate the read.
Kickoff Ledger- UConn averages 0.184 offensive EPA/play; Temple allows 0.170 defensive EPA/play, while Temple offense is 0.124 versus UConn's 0.077 allowed.
- A simple five-game offense/defense scoring blend projects UConn 30.4, Temple 26.0: fair spread about UConn +1.9.
- UConn is 2-3 and Temple is at home; the Huskies' recent 41-42 loss shows meaningful defensive volatility.
- UConn Huskies to win+150%Won
Taken at +150 on DraftKings
2 modelsPicks With Pink Grading System, CFB HunterV2Why 2 models like it
Picks With Pink Grading System- UConn's 2026 offense EPA/play is 0.211 versus Temple's 0.087, with a 0.502 versus 0.455 success-rate edge.
- Recent scoring margin favors UConn by +9.8 per game over the last five versus Temple's +1.0.
- UConn is only 2-3 this season and 2-3 over its last five; the recent form is not uniformly strong.
CFB HunterV2- Model win probability 55% versus 38% contract price: +17 percentage points before fees.
- UConn leads current-season offense EPA/play .184 to Temple .125 and defense EPA allowed .077 to .180.
- Temple is at home and the market's Temple price is supported by a 62.5% Kalshi quote.
- UConn Huskies vs. Temple Owls over 53.5 total points+79%Won
Taken at 56¢ on Polymarket
CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Recent form supports scoring: combined teams average 61.8 points across their last five games.
- Temple's last five games averaged only 25.8 points scored; stalled drives can leave 53.5 short.
- Over 55.5 total−100%Lost
Taken at 50¢ on Kalshi
Saturday BoardDown 15% last 7 days - UConn Huskies 1st-half winner+170%Won
Taken at 37¢ on Kalshi
Kickoff ScriptUp 2% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- UConn averaged a +6.4 first-half margin across its last five; Temple averaged +1.2.
- UConn’s recent offensive EPA/play was .184 versus Temple’s .125; UConn defensive EPA allowed was .078 versus Temple’s .180.
- UConn’s +9.2% PROE and 67.6 plays per game support a more aggressive opening script than Temple’s -2.7% PROE and 60.8 plays.
- Five games is a thin sample, and UConn’s average is lifted by a 35, 0 halftime against Lafayette.
- UConn Huskies over 24.5 team points+89%Won
Taken at 53¢ on Polymarket US
CFB HunterV2Up 0% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Model probability 59% versus a 53% contract price: +6 points before fees, about +4 points after the quoted taker fee.
- UConn averages 36.0 points over five current-season games and cleared 24.5 in 3 of 5.
- Temple allows 24.8 points per game; its defense posts .180 EPA allowed per play in the current-season team sample.
- UConn's leading receiver Javon Brown is out, directly weakening receiving depth and red-zone efficiency.
Show all 7 picks
- Game first-half total over 13.5 points+6%Won
Taken at 94¢ on Kalshi
Two QuartersDown 1% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Drive ledger: UConn averaged 6.6 first-half drives and Temple 5.2; combined 11.8 drives and 72.8 first-half plays per game.
- Five-game samples are thin; opponent quality and scoring-drive attribution can overstate the 31.6-point projection.
Questions
Who won UConn vs. Temple?
The UConn won 34–20 on Saturday, Oct 10, 2026.