SE Louisiana vs. UT Rio Grande ValleyFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalRobert and Janet Vackar Stadium
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SE | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| UT | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 13 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total under 55.5 53¢
CFB HeaterUp 8% return this season · 367 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-4 on this game · −62% return
- Game total under 55.5+89%Won
Taken at 53¢ on Polymarket US
CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 days - SE Louisiana Lions to win−100%Lost
Taken at 54¢ on Kalshi
CFB HunterV2Up 0% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- SE Louisiana averages 32.4 points; UTRGV averages 26.4 through five 2026 games.
- Charted EPA favors SE Louisiana: +0.06 offensive EPA/play versus UTRGV's +0.01.
- SE Louisiana's charted explosive-play rate averages 16.4%, versus UTRGV's 7.3%.
- UTRGV is home and has allowed only 21.2 points per game this season versus SE Louisiana's 30.8.
- Southeastern Louisiana −3−100%Lost
Taken at 47¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- exactly a 3-point Southeastern Louisiana win pushes this -3 ticket; unlike -2.5, it does not lose.
- same-side -2.5 is 74.36¢ (-290), while -3 is 47.17¢ (+112); the ladder is not coherent after the push adjustment.
- The 47.17¢ quote could be a one-level venue anomaly; there is no independent sharp confirmation of this specific rung.
- Game total over 55.5−100%Lost
Taken at 48¢ on Kalshi
CFB HunterV2Up 0% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- A points-for/points-against blend projects approximately 55.4 points before the charted-efficiency adjustment.
- SE Louisiana's charted explosive-play rate is 16.4%, supporting scoring upside against a UTRGV defense allowing 0.20 EPA/play.
- The baseline projection is almost exactly 55.5, so the edge is small and highly variance-sensitive.
- SE Louisiana Lions spread −2.5−100%Lost
Taken at 52¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- SLU averages 0.06 EPA/play, 44.8% success, and 16.4% explosive plays; UTRGV posts 0.01, 42.8%, and 7.3%.
- Pinnacle's related market is SLU -4 at +115; ProphetX offers the shorter -2.5 number.
- Most likely loss: UTRGV's home edge turns another close game into a late cover or outright upset.
Questions
Who won SE Louisiana vs. UT Rio Grande Valley?
UT Rio Grande Valley won 13-3 on Saturday, Oct 10, 2026.