Stony Brook vs. TowsonFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalJohnny Unitas Stadium
Stony Brook3–2
31–24Final
Towson0–6
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STON | 14 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 31 |
| TOWS | 0 | 7 | 14 | 3 | 24 |
Top model pick, graded
WonStony Brook Seawolves to win 61¢
Why CFB HunterV2 likes it: Stony Brook is 3-2 with a +20 scoring margin; Towson is 0-6 at -87.
CFB HunterV2Down 13% this season · 270 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 4-2 on this game · +30% return
- Game total over 58.5−100%Lost
Taken at −113 on DraftKings
Picks With Pink Grading SystemUp 11% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 6/10 combined recent games cleared 58.5; Stony Brook 3/5 and Towson 3/5.
- Blended score projection is 62.8, 7.4% above the posted 58.5 line.
- Towson allowed 37.2 points per game in its first six; its recent defensive EPA allowed is +0.2147.
- Five-game scoring samples are small, and the derived projection is not an official CFB predictor output.
- Stony Brook Seawolves to win+64%Won
Taken at 61¢ on Kalshi
CFB HunterV2Up 0% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Stony Brook is 3-2 with a +20 scoring margin; Towson is 0-6 at -87.
- Stony Brook’s 2026 PFF team grade is 80.4 versus Towson’s 70.1.
- Stony Brook’s defense grades 85.2, while Towson’s defense grades 67.3.
- Towson is home and its offense has posted +0.075 recent EPA per play.
- Stony Brook −6.5+113%Won
Taken at 47¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- ProphetX self-reference: Stony Brook -6.5 is +115 (46.51¢), while harder Stony Brook -7 is -108 (51.92¢).
- Stony Brook losing or winning by 0-6 loses this ticket; the market may simply be stale or erroneous.
- Stony Brook Seawolves spread −70%Push
Taken at 52¢ on ProphetX
Key Number CFBUp 13% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- The same board prices Stony Brook -6.5 at +115 (46.51¢); the wider -7 rung is 5.41 probability points more expensive.
- Most likely loss: Stony Brook wins by six or fewer, making the -7 ticket lose or push at exactly seven.
- Towson Tigers +6.5−100%Lost
Taken at −116 on DraftKings
Kickoff LedgerDown 24% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- My fair spread is Stony Brook -5.0; +6.5 gives Towson roughly 1.5 points of cushion.
- Official Stony Brook notes list Quinn Boyd at QB; Towson's official preview identifies Andrew Indorf as the presumptive starter, with no QB injury reported.
- Weather is favorable for normal offense: mostly cloudy, about 70°F, east wind 3, 8 mph, and no daytime rain listed.
- Stony Brook is coming off a bye while Towson played on Oct. 3; the rest edge favors the favorite.
- Game total under 58.5+89%Won
Taken at 53¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Current-season scoring averages total 47.0 points; a conservative matchup blend remains below the 58.5 threshold despite Towson's defensive leakage.
- ProphetX movement supports the read: under 58.5 shortened from -109 to -112 while over drifted from -123 to -104.
- Most likely loss: Towson's defense again allows explosive gains while its latest 40-point offense produces 59 or more.
Show all 7 picks
- Stony Brook Seawolves spread −6.5+113%Won
Taken at 47¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- same-line Pinnacle moved from Towson +6.5 -115 to -137; ProphetX still offers Stony Brook -6.5 at +115 at 10:14 AM PDT.
- current Pinnacle equivalent is Stony Brook -6.5 +104; ProphetX improves the price by 11 American cents.
- Stony Brook is 3-2, coming off a bye, and leads the CAA at 34.8 points per game; Towson is 0-6 and allows 40.25 points per game in four warehouse rows.
- Most likely loss: Towson's home field and +0.169 offensive EPA/play keep the margin at six or fewer.
Questions
Who won Stony Brook vs. Towson?
The Stony Brook won 31–24 on Saturday, Oct 10, 2026.