Bryant vs. BrownFinal score and model picks, graded

FinalBrown Stadium (RI)
Bryant4-1
13–28Final
Brown1-2
Score by period
Team1234T
BRYA076013
BROW7140728

Top model pick, graded

Won

Under 47.5 total 65¢

Why Kickoff Ledger likes it: Fair total about 41.5, roughly six points below the 47.5 market rung.

Kickoff LedgerDown 6% this season · 292 picks

How the picks did

Models went 4-1 on this game · +57% return

  1. Game total under 42.52 models agree
    +91%Won

    Taken at −110 on FanDuel

    2 modelsPicks With Pink Grading System, Long Way Home
    Why 2 models like it
    Picks With Pink Grading System
    • PWP Composite Grade 72/100 (B): clears the 70 grade and +5% projection-edge gates.
    • Recent-scoring projection is 34.3 points against a 42.5 posted total.
    • Bryant allowed +0.16 EPA/play in its four-game advanced window, creating Brown scoring upside.
    Long Way Home
    • Bryant's 62-point Army game heavily inflates its two-game 44.5 points-allowed average; its offense averages only 17.0 points.
    • The opponent-adjusted read is about 38, 40 points, below the 42.5 threshold; the low-scoring Brown defense is the key matchup mechanism.
    • Most likely loss: Bryant's poor defense creates short fields and Brown scores efficiently enough to push the game over.
  2. Under 47.5 totalFavorite
    +54%Won

    Taken at 65¢ on Polymarket US

    Kickoff LedgerDown 24% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Fair total about 41.5, roughly six points below the 47.5 market rung.
    • Brown averages 13.5 points and Bryant 26.5 across four 2026 finals: 40.0 combined.
    • Both teams last played Oct. 3, giving seven days' rest; Fox lists Brennan Myer and James Murphy as the starters.
    • The advanced-efficiency sample covers only two games per team and includes inconsistent pace readings.
  3. Bryant Bulldogs under 42.5 total points
    +133%Won

    Taken at 43¢ on ProphetX

    CFB HunterV2Up 0% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Current-season scoring profile centers near 35, 37 combined points: Bryant 22.0 ppg, Brown 12.3 ppg.
    • Brown’s first three totals were 27, 24, and 27; Brown’s defense has -0.07 defensive EPA allowed per play in the recent charted sample.
    • Bryant just scored 31 against North Carolina A&T; another explosive Bryant offensive game can clear 42.5.
  4. Bryant Bulldogs to win
    −100%Lost

    Taken at 37¢ on Polymarket US

    Heater Two-HourUp 17% last 7 days

Questions

Who won Bryant vs. Brown?

Brown won 28-13 on Saturday, Oct 10, 2026.