Panthers vs. DucksFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalHonda Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| ANA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Top model pick, graded
WonLeo Carlsson over 0.5 points −170
Why Jay Money PrizePicks Matrix likes it: Carlsson scored in Anaheim's 4-3 season-opening win over Vegas.
Jay Money PrizePicks MatrixDown 8% this season · 628 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-1 on this game · −21% return
- Matthew Tkachuk over 2.5 shots on goal−100%Lost
Taken at −105 on BetMGM
NHL Shot Volume HunterDown 10% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 5.91 estimated individual Corsi For/game over the last 10, clearing the 5.0 baseline.
- 18:41 average TOI over the last 10; projected top-nine Line 2 and PP1.
- Anaheim allows 30.0 SOG/game, eighth-highest league-wide and inside the bottom-10 vulnerability gate.
- Last-10 SOG average is 2.5, so the direct SOG-average gate is not met.
- Leo Carlsson over 0.5 points+59%Won
Taken at −170 on DraftKings
Jay Money PrizePicks MatrixDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Carlsson scored in Anaheim's 4-3 season-opening win over Vegas.
- His 1.0-point recent average is 100% above the 0.5-point line, albeit in a one-game sample.
- DraftKings prices the over at -170, while the matchup and recent role support a qualifying player-prop angle.
- The recent-form sample is only one game, so the 100% divergence is highly unstable.
Questions
Who won Panthers vs. Ducks?
The Ducks won 3–2 on Sunday, Oct 4, 2026.