Kings vs. DevilsFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalPrudential Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| NJ | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Top model pick, graded
WonNew Jersey Devils to win 64¢
Why Regulation Gap likes it: Game read supports New Jersey: 6-4 over its first 10 versus Los Angeles 2-6 over its first 8, with materially better five-on-five and special-teams inputs.
Regulation GapDown 19% this season · 53 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-2 on this game · −18% return
- New Jersey Devils to win+56%Won
Taken at 64¢ on ProphetX
Regulation GapUp 2% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Game read supports New Jersey: 6-4 over its first 10 versus Los Angeles 2-6 over its first 8, with materially better five-on-five and special-teams inputs.
- Both projected goalies are unconfirmed: Jake Allen and Darcy Kuemper; Connor Hellebuyck is day-to-day for New Jersey.
- Timo Meier over 3.0 shots on goal0%Push
Taken at −137 on prizepicks
Jay Money PrizePicks MatrixDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Meier has 43 shots over his last 10 games, a 4.3 average versus the 3.0 line.
- Meier is on the Devils' confirmed lineup, with no injury designation in the live participant feed.
- PrizePicks prices the over at -137, below my estimated 61% win probability.
- A 3.0 line requires four shots for an over; a three-shot game may not cash.
- Game under 6.5 total goals+72%Won
Taken at 58¢ on Novig
Goal LadderUp 58% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Pinnacle's live 6.0 total (-117 under / +104 over) implies a fitted 5.91-goal mean.
- The under is one rung above Novig's 5.5 main line, satisfying the near-main-line filter.
- Both projected goalies remain unconfirmed: Jake Allen and Darcy Kuemper; goalie news can move the mean materially.
- Jake Allen over 23.5 total saves−100%Lost
Taken at −130 on DraftKings
Crease WorkloadUp 28% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Allen's raw .8834 save percentage is 2.16 points below .905; regression against the cold mark supports the over.
- CompleteGamePct is 1.00, no pull haircut applies; NJD did not play on 2026-10-23, so rest is known.
- LAK's Fiala is out and Byfield is day-to-day; reduced shot generation can leave Allen below 24 saves.
- Los Angeles Kings +1.5−100%Lost
Taken at 60¢ on Polymarket US
Fair DogDown 13% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Team-rate fit centers New Jersey at roughly 3.35 goals and Los Angeles at 2.65 against the sharp 6.0 total.
- The margin distribution gives New Jersey about a 36% chance to win by 2+; Kings +1.5 fair cover is about 64%.
- The full-game ladder is monotone; +2.5 is 74¢ but FanDuel is cheaper at -270, so +1.5 is the qualifying rung.
- Jake Allen and Darcy Kuemper are expected, not confirmed, and both goalie assignments remain a late-news risk.
Questions
Who won Kings vs. Devils?
The Devils won 3–1 on Saturday, Oct 24, 2026.