FinalBraly Stadium
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WEST | 7 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 20 |
| NORT | 6 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 23 |
Top model pick, graded
WonWestern Illinois Leathernecks spread +7 53¢
Why Long Way Home likes it: WIU's current offense is materially stronger by EPA (-0.04 vs -0.21) and success rate (48.5% vs 34.8%).
How the picks did
Models went 1-2 on this game · −37% return
- Game total over 54−100%Lost
Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 days - North Alabama −7 spread−100%Lost
Taken at 52¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- ProphetX prices -7 at 51.92¢ versus -7.5 at 50.74¢: only a 1.18-point quote gap for the push option.
- A push is a refund, not a win; the underlying probability of North Alabama covering remains unknown by design.
- Western Illinois Leathernecks spread +7+89%Won
Taken at 53¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- WIU's current offense is materially stronger by EPA (-0.04 vs -0.21) and success rate (48.5% vs 34.8%).
- WIU has produced 59 and 65 points in two 2026 FCS/home games; +7 gives room against a modest North Alabama profile.
- Most likely loss: North Alabama's home advantage and better current defensive EPA turn the favorite's edge into an 8-point win.
Questions
Who won Western Illinois vs. North Alabama?
North Alabama won 23-20 on Saturday, Sep 26, 2026.