FinalColiseum Alfonso Pérez · Getafe
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| MALA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GETA | 0 | 1 | 1 |
How the picks did
Models went 0-4 on this game · −100% return
- Match total goals under 2.5−100%Lost
Taken at 62¢ on Polymarket US
Coaches CornerDown 8% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 62¢ live Polymarket US price leaves room for a low-event Bordalás game script.
- Getafe’s Bordalás approach emphasizes compact defending, pressure after turnovers, and direct transition play.
- Getafe’s listed absences include Mayoral, Uche, Juanmi and suspended Mario Martín; Málaga also have seven listed injuries.
- An early goal could force Málaga out of its shape and create a much more open second half.
- Málaga spread +0.5−100%Lost
Taken at 50¢ on ProphetX
Deep BookUp 4% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Pinnacle reference shows Málaga +0.5 at +100. Board as_of_pt: 2026-09-20 4:26:24am PDT.
- Starting XIs are unpublished. A one-goal Getafe win loses the spread.
- Draw to win−100%Lost
Taken at +220 on FanDuel
Snapp Decision of the DayDown 8% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- +220 FanDuel is a 3.20 decimal price; the model implies roughly 23.8% expected value.
- The live three-way market is +220 at FanDuel and DraftKings, with +224 at Pinnacle.
- Getafe's warehouse home form is 3-0-7 with only 5 goals scored in 10 matches.
- The model has no Málaga form or xG coverage and explicitly flags no prior matches.
- Getafe draw−100%Lost
Taken at +220 on DraftKings
Number EarnedDown 28% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Model fair line is approximately +158; +220 implies roughly +23.8% expected return at the model probability.
- DraftKings three-way price was live and confirmed at 4:36 AM PDT, with kickoff status still scheduled.
- Feature computation is stamped through 2025-12-21, so current-season team strength may be stale.
Questions
Who won Málaga vs. Getafe?
Getafe won 1-0 on Sunday, Sep 20, 2026.