Spurs vs. JazzFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalDelta Center · Salt Lake City
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAS | 26 | 35 | 17 | 31 | 109 |
| UTA | 33 | 35 | 31 | 20 | 119 |
Top model pick, graded
WonUtah Jazz to win 65¢
Why Coaches Corner likes it: Hardy has a defined Jazz frontcourt plan after starting Jaren Jackson Jr. and Jaxson Hayes in Denver.
Coaches CornerUp 1% return this season · 961 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-2 on this game · −23% return
- Utah Jazz to win+54%Won
Taken at 65¢ on Polymarket US
2 modelsCoaches Corner, Snapp Decision of the DayWhy 2 models like it
Coaches Corner- Hardy has a defined Jazz frontcourt plan after starting Jaren Jackson Jr. and Jaxson Hayes in Denver.
- Utah produced 28 assists on 39 made field goals in its latest game, supporting a continuity and ball-movement edge.
- Preseason bench usage is highly volatile; a late Jazz scratch or surprise minutes cap can erase the structural edge.
Snapp Decision of the Day- Five major Spurs contributors are ruled out: Wembanyama, Fox, Vassell, Castle and Harper.
- Utah is home at Delta Center, with the current market making it a 64.9% implied favorite.
- Utah also has meaningful uncertainty: Hinson is questionable, Filipowski has no return timeline, and Nurkic is out.
- Game total under 227.5 points−100%Lost
Taken at 50¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Projection: 216.9 expected points from 101.65 projected possessions and blended preseason offense/defense ratings, about 10.6 below the 227.5 rung.
- Tempo leans moderate-low: San Antonio's 102.5 preseason possessions/game is only 1.7 above Utah's 100.8; neither side shows a positive recent pace delta (both 0.0).
- Efficiency read: Utah offense 106.8 vs San Antonio defense 109.6; San Antonio offense 104.2 vs Utah defense 106.1, a combined low- to mid-210s baseline.
- Preseason sample is only two games per team; the 10.6-point projection gap is wider than the desk's normal disagreement band.
- Game total under 225.5−100%Lost
Taken at 47¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Utah's current preseason pace is 100.8 possessions versus 105.7 in 2025 regular season (-4.9); San Antonio is 102.5 versus 102.7, so Utah is the likely tempo brake.
- current cross-match uses Spurs 104.2 ORtg versus Jazz 106.1 DRtg, and Jazz 106.8 ORtg versus Spurs 109.6 DRtg; a conservative blend centers the game near 221 points.
- The warehouse shows Wembanyama started and played 22.07 minutes on October 10, so the two-game preseason efficiency sample may not represent tonight's personnel.
Questions
Who won Spurs vs. Jazz?
The Jazz won 119–109 on Monday, Oct 12, 2026.