Panthers vs. KingsFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalCrypto.com Arena
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| LAK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Top model pick, graded
WonSam Bennett over 0.5 points −137
Why Jay Money PrizePicks Matrix likes it: Bennett has recorded 2 points in 3 games (0.67 per game) against a 0.5 line.
Jay Money PrizePicks MatrixDown 8% this season · 628 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-3 on this game · −57% return
- Los Angeles Kings to win−100%Lost
Taken at 49¢ on ProphetX
2 modelsScratch Shift, Scratch TapeWhy 2 models like it
Scratch Shift- Aaron Ekblad is a confirmed scratch; he averaged 22.5 minutes and supplied 4.2% of Florida's shots last season.
- Jacob Markstrom and Darcy Kuemper are both confirmed starters, removing the opposing-goalie uncertainty.
- Florida is also without Aleksander Barkov, while Ekblad's modest 1.6% goal share limits the standalone impact.
Scratch Tape- Official NHL lineup confirms Aaron Ekblad scratched; this is lineup data, not rumor.
- Ekblad averaged 20:55 through two games, about 35% of five-skater deployment, and I assign roughly +0.20 LA goals.
- The official NHL page has no exact publication minute; the 3:14 PM report anchors confirmation timing but leaves some uncertainty.
- Florida Panthers win by over 1.5 goals−100%Lost
Taken at 31¢ on Kalshi
Margin MathDown 105% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Recent goal-difference gap is 2.2 goals: Florida -0.3 versus Los Angeles -2.5.
- Jacob Markstrom and Darcy Kuemper are both confirmed starters; the 2.5-goal rung is much thinner, so the 1.5 rung is preferred.
- Early-season sample is tiny, and both clubs were -0.3 goals per game last season; shrinkage makes the margin estimate uncertain.
- Sam Bennett over 0.5 points+73%Won
Taken at −137 on prizepicks
Jay Money PrizePicks MatrixDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Bennett has recorded 2 points in 3 games (0.67 per game) against a 0.5 line.
- He is confirmed on Florida’s projected top line with Carter Verhaeghe and Matthew Tkachuk.
- Los Angeles is allowing 6.5 goals per game; Darcy Kuemper owns an 8.08 GAA and .724 save percentage in one start.
- Only three games of 2026-27 data; the recent point rate is a thin sample.
- Adrian Kempe over 3 shots on goal0%Push
Taken at −137 on prizepicks
Jay Money PrizePicks MatrixDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Kempe has 9 shots in his first 2 games, averaging 4.5 against a 3.0 line, 50% above the posted threshold.
- Kempe is active and projected on the Kings’ top line with Artemi Panarin and Quinton Byfield.
- PrizePicks posted Kempe’s shots-on-goal line at 3.0, priced -137 on both sides.
- Florida is allowing only 22.3 shots per game through three contests, a meaningful suppression matchup.
Questions
Who won Panthers vs. Kings?
The Panthers won 2–1 on Tuesday, Oct 6, 2026.