FinalCentreville Bank Stadium
Harvard1-0
14–10Final
Brown1-0
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HARV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| BROW | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total under 49.5 points 70¢
Why Picks With Pink Grading System likes it: PWP Composite Grade 73/100 (B): Dimers projects Harvard 28, Brown 16, 44 total, 5.5 below 49.5.
Picks With Pink Grading SystemDown 5% this season · 474 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-4 on this game · −71% return
- Game total over 45−100%Lost
Taken at 49¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- ProphetX over 45 is +104 (49.02¢) versus over 45.5 at -114 (53.27¢), a 4.25¢ worse price on the strictly weaker half-point contract.
- This is a venue self-reference comparison, not an independent sharp reference or projection.
- Game total under 49.5 points+43%Won
Taken at 70¢ on Kalshi
Picks With Pink Grading SystemUp 11% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- PWP Composite Grade 73/100 (B): Dimers projects Harvard 28, Brown 16, 44 total, 5.5 below 49.5.
- PWP estimates 75% under probability: approximately +5.0¢ expected value per 70¢ contract.
- The only two 2026 team games totaled 38 and 27 points; Yahoo Sports also selected Under 49.5.
- Dimers supplies a point projection, not a full total-distribution model; the 75% probability is uncertain.
- Harvard Crimson spread −13.5−100%Lost
Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Harvard -13.5 wins when Harvard wins by 14; the exact leg matches this read.
- ProphetX quoted Harvard -13.5 at -103 versus Harvard -14 at +100; only a three-price-point improvement for the whole rung.
- The comparison is venue self-reference, not an independent sharp-price confirmation; the underlying pair could both be mispriced.
- Brown Bears to win−100%Lost
Taken at 17¢ on Polymarket
CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Polymarket is accepting orders with roughly $5.4k traded; Brown is 16.5¢ after those 17, 18¢ buys.
- Brown remains a substantial underdog; Harvard is priced around 83.5% on the same market.
- Game total over 42.5−100%Lost
Taken at 49¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- ProphetX prices over 42.5 at 48.54c (+106), while the harder over 43.5 is 51.22c (-105): a 2.68-point ladder reversal.
- the related 43.5 rung is the reference; no sharp-book reference is used for this structural signal.
- Projection agrees directionally: Harvard scored 31 and Brown had 422 yards in their openers; 42.5 sits below the combined 48 opening points.
- Harvard allowed only 7 in its opener; a 31-7-style script lands 38 and loses.
Questions
Who won Harvard vs. Brown?
Harvard won 14-10 on Friday, Sep 25, 2026.