Tennessee State vs. LindenwoodFinal score and model picks, graded

FinalHunter Stadium

Tennessee State2-6

0–27Final

Lindenwood3-4

Score by period
Team	1	2	3	4	T
TENN	0	0	0	0	0
LIND	0	10	10	7	27

Top model pick, graded

Won

Under 48.5 total 53¢

Why House Rules likes it: Under 48.5 wins at 48; Under 48 only pushes at 48; all other integer outcomes align.

Models went 2-0 on this game · +94% return

Under 48.5 total
+89%Won
Taken at 53¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- Under 48.5 wins at 48; Under 48 only pushes at 48; all other integer outcomes align.
- ProphetX can reprice before kickoff, and the 47.5 rung was listed but unquoted, limiting the comparison set.
Lindenwood Lions spread −8.5
+100%Won
Taken at 50¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 days
Why it likes it
- season scoring-margin gap is 9.6 points before a home adjustment, against an 8.5-point line.
- Lindenwood averages +0.00 offensive EPA/play and 41.7% success; Tennessee State is -0.06 EPA/play and 40.2% success.
- Lindenwood's 12.4% explosive-play rate exceeds Tennessee State's 9.0%, supporting separation in a matchup where both defenses allow roughly +0.10 EPA/play.
- Most likely loss: Tennessee State keeps the game within one score while Lindenwood's recent 2-3 run and -5.8 last-five margin persist.

50%LINDTENNKickoff

Oct 31Final

Lindenwood won 27-0 on Saturday, Oct 31, 2026.