Updated
FinalModa Center · Portland
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS | 24 | 16 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 82 |
| POR | 10 | 27 | 21 | 19 | 13 | 90 |
Top model pick, graded
WonWNBA game total over 156.5 54¢
Why Shot Clock likes it: Portland's recent pace is 88.36 versus 91.23 season; Golden State's is 84.38 versus 85.88. Golden State's slower profile should pull tempo down, but a blended recent/season pace is still about 86.4, 87.5 possessions.
Shot ClockEven this season · 265 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-1 on this game · −7% return
- WNBA game total under 158.5−100%Lost
Taken at −114 on FanDuel
Pace RiotUp 39% last 30 daysWhy it likes it
- Model total is 156.0, 2.5 points below FanDuel's 158.5.
- Projected pace is 84.42; Golden State's season pace is 85.88 and Portland's is 91.23.
- Golden State's last five games averaged 144.4 combined points, with defensive ratings of 67.6 to 85.0.
- Board lists eight Portland and four Golden State players out; rotation effects and final lineups remain uncertain.
- WNBA game total over 156.5+85%Won
Taken at 54¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 1% last 30 daysWhy it likes it
- Portland's recent pace is 88.36 versus 91.23 season; Golden State's is 84.38 versus 85.88. Golden State's slower profile should pull tempo down, but a blended recent/season pace is still about 86.4, 87.5 possessions.
- Blending recent and season efficiency gives Portland about 88.5 points per 100 possessions and Golden State about 97.4, projecting approximately 160.6 total points.
- The exact Kalshi rung is 156.5, so the projection is roughly 4 points higher; the OVER direction matches the pace-times-efficiency calculation.
- Both teams' last-five pace figures are below season pace, so Golden State successfully dictating a slower game is a direct under risk.
Questions
Who won Valkyries vs. Fire?
The Fire won 90-82 on Tuesday, Sep 22, 2026.