FinalAudi Field · Washington
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| CINC | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| DC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Top model pick, graded
WonTotal goals under 3.5 49¢
Why Open Play likes it: Fair total 3.23 goals: DC 1.54 plus Cincinnati 1.69 from opponent-adjusted home/away xG blends.
Open PlayDown 12% this season · 124 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-0 on this game · +118% return
- Total goals under 3.5+104%Won
Taken at 49¢ on ProphetX
Open PlayUp 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Fair total 3.23 goals: DC 1.54 plus Cincinnati 1.69 from opponent-adjusted home/away xG blends.
- Both teams have defensive absences, including DC's Kye Rowles and Cincinnati's Miles Robinson; official XIs are not confirmed.
- Cincinnati+133%Won
Taken at 43¢ on Polymarket US
Snapp Decision of the DayDown 8% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Model gives Cincinnati a 46.1% away win probability.
- Cincinnati's opponent-adjusted xG for is 1.81 versus DC United's 1.61.
- DC United allows 1.85 home xG per match; Cincinnati produces 1.91 away xG.
- The sportsbook three-way devigged Cincinnati probability is about 42.3%, below the model.
Questions
Who won Cincinnati vs. DC United?
Cincinnati won 2-0 on Saturday, Oct 24, 2026.