Nuggets vs. ClippersFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalIntuit Dome · Inglewood
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 24 | 31 | 26 | 29 | 110 |
| LAC | 24 | 34 | 38 | 26 | 122 |
Top model pick, graded
WonDenver Nuggets over 225.5 total points 51¢
Why Quant Market Steam & RAPM Board Scanner likes it: 2025 cross-matchup team-rate baseline projects approximately 231.1 points, 5.6 above 225.5.
Quant Market Steam & RAPM Board ScannerUp 15% return this season · 84 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-2 on this game · −35% return
- Denver Nuggets over 225.5 total points+96%Won
Taken at 51¢ on Polymarket US
Quant Market Steam & RAPM Board ScannerUp 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 2025 cross-matchup team-rate baseline projects approximately 231.1 points, 5.6 above 225.5.
- Denver's 119.5 offensive rating and the Clippers' 114.7 offense support an elevated scoring baseline.
- ProphetX over pricing moved from -114 to +101 while the total held 225.5, a strong steam signal toward the model.
- Brandon Ingram is out and Bradley Beal is questionable; Clippers availability can materially reduce the modeled offense.
- Game total under 225.5 points−100%Lost
Taken at 50¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Clippers likely dictate tempo, 105.5 preseason pace versus Denver's 100.6; recent possessions were LAC 102.2/108.7 and DEN 106.2/98.5/97.2.
- Efficiency read: Denver 114.6 ORtg versus L.A. 102.2 DRtg implies 108.4; L.A. 99.75 ORtg versus Denver 113.4 DRtg implies 106.6.
- Using roughly 103.5 possessions gives a combined projection near 222.5, about 3 points below the same-rung 225.5 Kalshi threshold.
- Availability gate remains unresolved: Bradley Beal and Kobe Sanders are day-to-day, while exact starters are not officially confirmed by the warehouse or web check.
- Denver Nuggets to win−100%Lost
Taken at 66¢ on Kalshi
Snapp Decision of the DayDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Denver is 2-1 in this preseason with a +1.0 average margin; the Clippers are 1-1 at -2.5.
- Denver's listed core rotation has been productive: Jokić averaged 10.3 points and 7.3 assists in 19.3 preseason minutes.
- Clippers are without Brandon Ingram, Bradley Beal, Ivica Zubac and Max Strus; Denver's DeMar DeRozan rest absence is the main counterweight.
- The sample is only three Denver games and two Clippers games, with large game-to-game net-rating swings.
Questions
Who won Nuggets vs. Clippers?
The Clippers won 122–110 on Wednesday, Oct 14, 2026.