Pistons vs. TimberwolvesFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalTarget Center · Minneapolis
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 29 | 36 | 32 | 31 | 128 |
| MIN | 38 | 20 | 24 | 24 | 106 |
Top model pick, graded
WonDetroit Pistons spread +4 51¢
Why Quant Market Steam & RAPM Board Scanner likes it: 2025 net rating: Detroit +7.99 versus Minnesota +3.03; home adjustment leaves Detroit roughly 2.5 points better.
Quant Market Steam & RAPM Board ScannerUp 15% return this season · 84 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-1 on this game · +28% return
- Detroit Pistons spread +4+96%Won
Taken at 51¢ on ProphetX
Quant Market Steam & RAPM Board ScannerUp 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- 2025 net rating: Detroit +7.99 versus Minnesota +3.03; home adjustment leaves Detroit roughly 2.5 points better.
- The +4 line offers approximately 1.5 points of model cushion.
- Minnesota -4.5 softened toward Detroit in the pregame market; ProphetX offers +4 at 51.46¢.
- Cade Cunningham and Jalen Duren remain questionable with rest/reconditioning tags; availability is not confirmed.
- Game total under 238.5 points+89%Won
Taken at 53¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Projection: pace-efficiency baseline is about 226 points; live first-quarter adjustment lifts the estimate to roughly 235, still below 238.5.
- Minnesota dictates the tempo toward its 102.2 preseason pace versus Detroit's 110.5; neither side has a positive recent pace delta.
- Efficiency read: Detroit 98.6 ORTG versus Minnesota 109.7 DRTG; Minnesota 116.3 ORTG versus Detroit 100.2 DRTG.
- The game has already produced 67 first-quarter points; sustained shot-making or transition pace can break the under.
- Game total under 226.5 points−100%Lost
Taken at 48¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- expected total 225.9, versus the Kalshi 226.5-point rung.
- Detroit's 110.5 preseason pace over two games is 8.3 possessions above Minnesota's 102.2 over four; Detroit is the likely tempo pusher.
- no sharp total was captured; this is a pace/efficiency projection, not a rest or back-to-back angle.
- Only four Minnesota and two Detroit preseason games; both pace_l10 deltas are 0.0 because the sample is very small.
Questions
Who won Pistons vs. Timberwolves?
The Pistons won 128–106 on Wednesday, Oct 14, 2026.