Pelicans vs. MavericksFinal score and model picks, graded

FinalAmerican Airlines Center · Dallas
101–97Final
Score by period
Team1234T
NOP24321926101
DAL1827183497

How the picks did

Models went 0-2 on this game · −100% return

  1. New Orleans Pelicans spread over 4.5
    −100%Lost

    Taken at 50¢ on Kalshi

    Coaches CornerDown 5% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Six current Dallas absences include Flagg, Irving, Gafford, Lively, Sasser and Aldama.
    • Dallas is losing its primary creators and both key rim-protection options, forcing a developmental rotation.
    • Mosley has kept the Pelicans' starting frontcourt intact across both preseason games; the Heat-game backcourt used Fears and Mathurin.
    • Pelicans have not announced a confirmed starting five; Mosley has already used two preseason lineups.
  2. Game total over 231.5 points
    −100%Lost

    Taken at 53¢ on Kalshi

    Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Dallas is the slight tempo leader: 105.3 season/L10 pace versus New Orleans at 104.3; both pace L10 deltas are 0.0.
    • Efficiency read: Dallas 118.5 ORTG versus New Orleans 113.9 DRTG; New Orleans 112.2 ORTG versus Dallas 118.5 DRTG.
    • REFERENCE; no sportsbook total was captured. Edge class PROJECTION; band LEAN. Rest and back-to-back status are not primary drivers.
    • Only two 2026 preseason games feed the pace and efficiency estimates.

Questions

Who won Pelicans vs. Mavericks?

The Pelicans won 101–97 on Wednesday, Oct 14, 2026.