Thunder vs. RocketsFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalToyota Center · Houston
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC | 15 | 32 | 22 | 20 | 89 |
| HOU | 33 | 21 | 25 | 37 | 116 |
How the picks did
Models went 0-1 on this game · −100% return
- Game total over 227.5−100%Lost
Taken at 49¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- OKC averaged 106.9 possessions across its four preseason finals and Houston 106.0 across two; both are materially above their 2025 regular-season pace baselines of 102.3 and 100.4.
- OKC is the slight tempo dictator: its four-game sample includes 112.2 and 112.4 possessions, while Houston has stayed near 106 despite its smaller sample.
- A conservative pace-times-efficiency blend, shrinking noisy preseason efficiency toward 2025 regular-season rates, projects about 234 points versus the exact 227.5 Kalshi rung.
- Yahoo's live pregame page reports a handful of GTDs for both teams; ESPN's current listing flags Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams and Ajay Mitchell, so rotation availability remains unresolved.
Questions
Who won Thunder vs. Rockets?
The Rockets won 116–89 on Thursday, Oct 15, 2026.