Raptors vs. KnicksFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalMadison Square Garden · New York
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 32 | 26 | 21 | 41 | 120 |
| NYK | 35 | 28 | 24 | 35 | 122 |
Top model pick, graded
WonOver 225.5 total points 53¢
Why Shot Clock likes it: Projection: 104.3 expected possessions × 2.211 points per possession yields an expected total of approximately 230.8, versus the 225.5 Kalshi rung.
Shot ClockUp 1% return this season · 238 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-0 on this game · +71% return
- Over 225.5 total points+89%Won
Taken at 53¢ on Kalshi
Shot ClockDown 9% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Projection: 104.3 expected possessions × 2.211 points per possession yields an expected total of approximately 230.8, versus the 225.5 Kalshi rung.
- Toronto is the slight tempo driver: 104.7 pace versus New York's 103.9; both L10 pace figures equal their season baselines, so there is no recent slowdown signal.
- Efficiency read: Knicks offense 98.35 against Toronto defense 106.0; Raptors offense 117.5 against New York defense 120.4, producing an estimated 102.2 + 119.0 points.
- Availability is unresolved: the warehouse flags Brunson, Hart, Towns, Bridges, and Anunoby questionable, while the same-day web check lists Knicks starters but says lineups are unconfirmed; that conflict caps this at LEAN.
- New York Knicks to win+54%Won
Taken at 65¢ on Kalshi
Snapp Decision of the DayDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Own estimate 68% versus Kalshi's 65¢ New York contract.
- Knicks have no injuries reported; expected regular lineup is stronger than Tuesday's rested group.
- Toronto may rest key players after a quick preseason turnaround, improving New York's rotation edge.
- Starting lineups remain unconfirmed, so a late rest decision can erase the small edge.
Questions
Who won Raptors vs. Knicks?
The Knicks won 122–120 on Thursday, Oct 15, 2026.