Butler vs. PresbyterianFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalBailey Memorial Stadium
Butler6-2
27–10Final
Presbyterian4-4
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUTL | 14 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 27 |
| PRES | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 10 |
Top model pick, graded
WonButler Bulldogs −10.5 57¢
Why EPA Mismatch likes it: SRS gap is 26.2 points: Butler -38.6 versus Presbyterian -64.8.
EPA MismatchDown 3% this season · 27 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 5-0 on this game · +73% return
- Butler Bulldogs spread −11.5+89%Won
Taken at 53¢ on ProphetX
2 modelsKey Number CFB, Long Way HomeWhy 2 models like it
Key Number CFB- Butler's 2026 regular-season profile is +0.13 EPA/play offense and -0.10 defensive EPA allowed, versus Presbyterian +0.01 and +0.16.
- Latest 2026 PFF grades favor Butler 92.1 overall, 78.6 offense and 93.1 defense versus Presbyterian 69.5, 66.5 and 72.6.
- Presbyterian has home field, and both efficiency samples cover only eight games against mixed FCS schedules.
Long Way Home- 2026 efficiency gap: Butler +0.13 offensive EPA/play versus Presbyterian +0.01, while Presbyterian allows +0.16 defensive EPA/play.
- Butler allows 21.5 points per game; Presbyterian allows 38.5, supporting a margin materially above the posted number.
- Butler's last-five average margin is only +13.0, leaving little cushion over 11.5.
- Butler Bulldogs −10.5+75%Won
Taken at 57¢ on Kalshi
EPA MismatchUp 15% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- SRS gap is 26.2 points: Butler -38.6 versus Presbyterian -64.8.
- Season EPA favors Butler on both sides: +0.13 offense and -0.10 defense versus Presbyterian +0.01 and +0.16.
- Team grades favor Butler 92.1, 69.5 overall, with defense 93.1, 72.6.
- Both quarterbacks are only expected, not officially confirmed; Gabe Passini and Landon Sharpe have no listed status designation.
- Butler Bulldogs to win+25%Won
Taken at 80¢ on Polymarket US
BETALAB 6.0Down 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Butler's 2026 SRS rating is -38.6 versus Presbyterian's -64.8, a 26.2-point gap.
- Butler: +0.13 offensive EPA/play and -0.10 defensive EPA allowed; Presbyterian: +0.01 and +0.16.
- PFF team grades favor Butler 92.1 to 69.5 overall, with a 93.1 to 72.6 defensive-grade edge.
- The college lineup feed is expected rather than confirmed, with null observation time; FCS-specific late availability is not covered officially.
- Total points under 59.5+89%Won
Taken at 53¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 6% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Projection edge; my matchup estimate is 56, 57 points, versus 59.5 posted.
- Butler averages 33.25 points and Presbyterian allows 38.5, but Butler allows only 21.5 points per game.
- Presbyterian's offense averages 27.25 points with only 0.01 offensive EPA/play across eight games.
- Most likely loss: Presbyterian's explosive offense and Butler's pace produce a 35, 28 type game.
Win chance, start to finish
50%PRESBUTLKickoff
Oct 31Final
Questions
Who won Butler vs. Presbyterian?
Butler won 27-10 on Saturday, Oct 31, 2026.