Hampton vs. TowsonFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalJohnny Unitas Stadium
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAMP | 0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 13 |
| TOWS | 10 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 44 |
Top model pick, graded
WonTotal points over 52.5 47¢
Why Long Way Home likes it: INTERNAL COHERENCE; reference label: VENUE SELF-REFERENCE.
Long Way HomeDown 4% this season · 3702 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-4 on this game · −57% return
- Hampton Pirates spread +18.5−100%Lost
Taken at −105 on FanDuel
2 modelsPicks With Pink Grading System, Long Way HomeWhy 2 models like it
Picks With Pink Grading System- Current-season scoring/defense averages imply Towson 29.4, Hampton 25.9: projected margin Towson +3.5.
- The 15-point gap between that projection and +18.5 provides substantial cushion for Hampton.
- Pinnacle's current fair probability is 47.9% for Hampton +18.5; sharp movement favored Towson from -17.5 to -18.5.
Long Way Home- SRS rates Towson -42.6 versus Hampton -52.2, a 9.6-point gap versus ProphetX’s 18.5.
- Towson’s 2026 offense is +0.108 EPA/play; Hampton is -0.100, but defensive EPA allowed is nearly identical.
- Hampton has lost five straight by 21.8 points per game; an early deficit can make 18.5 insufficient.
- Game under 53.5 total−100%Lost
Taken at 56¢ on Polymarket
CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 days - Hampton Pirates +18.5 spread−100%Lost
Taken at 48¢ on Polymarket US
BETALAB 6.0Down 4% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- SRS rating gap is only 9.6 points before home field, below the 18.5-point market handicap.
- Towson’s recent 10-game offense EPA/play is +0.0696; Hampton’s is -0.0995, but both defenses allow positive EPA.
- Towson has the stronger 2026 team grade, 73.3 versus Hampton’s 64.8, and can create a runaway margin.
- Total points over 52.5+113%Won
Taken at 47¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- INTERNAL COHERENCE; reference label: VENUE SELF-REFERENCE.
- ProphetX's adjacent ladder is inverted: over 51.5 is -146 (59.35c), while over 52.5 is +115 (46.51c).
- Towson averages 22.5 points and Hampton 17.0; opposing defenses allow 34.75 and 36.25, producing a 55.3-point blended projection.
- Most likely loss: Towson's offense stalls and Hampton fails to finish drives, leaving the game at 52 points or fewer.
Win chance, start to finish
50%TOWSHAMPKickoff
Oct 31Final
Questions
Who won Hampton vs. Towson?
The Towson won 44–13 on Saturday, Oct 31, 2026.