Yale vs. ColumbiaFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalLawrence A. Wien Stadium
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YALE | 0 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 26 |
| COLU | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
Top model pick, graded
WonYale Bulldogs to win 78¢
Why BETALAB 6.0 likes it: Books at -420/+310 devig to Yale 76.8%; the model adds a measured, not market-sized, adjustment.
BETALAB 6.0Down 10% this season · 273 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 2-2 on this game · −26% return
- Yale Bulldogs to win+28%Won
Taken at 78¢ on Polymarket US
BETALAB 6.0Down 4% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Books at -420/+310 devig to Yale 76.8%; the model adds a measured, not market-sized, adjustment.
- Last six: Yale offense EPA/play +0.079 versus Columbia +0.047; Yale defense allowed +0.013 versus Columbia +0.178.
- 2026 grades favor Yale: 89.1 overall and 90.7 defense versus Columbia’s 85.8 and 82.0.
- Yale is 3-3 and Columbia 4-2; six-game efficiency samples are noisy and partly overlap with market information.
- Game over 49.5 total points−100%Lost
Taken at 66¢ on ProphetX
House RulesDown 7% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- ProphetX over 49 is -310 and pushes at exactly 49, while over 49.5 is -198: a 112-American-point price gap.
- At 49 or below, over 49.5 loses; the over-49 comparison would push only at exactly 49.
- Yale Bulldogs spread −6.5+67%Won
Taken at 60¢ on ProphetX
Key Number CFBUp 13% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Yale's six-game EPA profile is stronger: +0.0794 offense versus Columbia +0.0472, and +0.0129 defensive EPA allowed versus Columbia +0.1778; lower defensive EPA allowed is better.
- PFF's latest 2026 card favors Yale overall 89.1-85.8 and defense 90.7-82.0; the sharp market centers the game near the Yale -7.5 range.
- QB gate checked: Dante Reno and Chase Goodwin led their teams' latest passing rows; the current depth chart expects both, with live official/team-page checks supporting their roles.
- The bet loses if Yale wins by six or fewer, loses outright, or Columbia covers; one-score CFB margins are highly volatile.
- Columbia Lions spread +7.5−100%Lost
Taken at 50¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- six-game scoring blend gives Yale roughly a 3.2-point edge before Columbia's home field, well below -7.5.
- Yale scored 21 and 23 in its last two; Columbia's last two were 28 and 18, favoring a tighter game distribution.
- Yale's season defensive EPA allowed is 0.0129 versus Columbia's 0.1778; a clean Yale defensive game can create a double-digit win.
Win chance, start to finish
50%COLUYALEKickoff
Oct 31Final
Questions
Who won Yale vs. Columbia?
The Yale won 26–8 on Saturday, Oct 31, 2026.