Wofford vs. SamfordFinal score and model picks, graded
FinalSeibert Stadium
Wofford5–3
9–10Final
Samford2–6
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WOFF | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| SAMF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 |
Top model pick, graded
WonGame total under 47.5 −110
Why CFB HunterV2 likes it: Model score distribution centers around 45, 46 points; under 47.5 wins 57% in the scenario set.
CFB HunterV2Down 13% this season · 270 picks
Get the next picks firstHow the picks did
Models went 1-6 on this game · −73% return
- Wofford Terriers to win−100%Lost
Taken at −210 on Fliff
3 modelsNFL Sharp Edge, BETALAB 6.0 +1Why 3 models like it
NFL Sharp Edge- Wofford's recent 8-game offense EPA/play is +0.1055 versus Samford's -0.0189.
- Wofford's recent defensive EPA allowed/play is -0.0453; Samford's is +0.0408.
- Samford has home field and one extra week of recent rest advantage is unclear: Wofford last played 14 days ago, Samford 7.
BETALAB 6.0- BETALAB estimates Wofford at 68.5%; model fair price is 68.5c.
- Wofford leads recent EPA/play, success rate (.460-.410), explosiveness (.111-.095), and PFF overall grade (82.3-72.3).
- Samford is home and has one week less rest; Wofford's 14-day layoff could create rust.
Long Way Home- Wofford is 5-3 versus Samford's 2-6 entering this game, with the stronger season profile.
- Wofford averages +0.106 offensive EPA/play and -0.045 defensive EPA allowed; Samford averages -0.019 and +0.041.
- Most likely loss: Wofford's offense stalls, then Samford wins a field-position or turnover swing late.
- Wofford Terriers −5.5−100%Lost
Taken at 47¢ on Polymarket
CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Wofford's 2026 form is materially stronger: 5-3 record and +0.1055 offensive EPA/play versus Samford 2-6 and -0.0189.
- Wofford leads the latest team-grade card 82.3 to 72.3, including defense 89.0 to 86.6.
- Wofford is laying 5.5 on the road, and Samford's home field plus a 7-day rest edge versus Wofford's 14 days since its last game add variance.
- Game total under 47.5+91%Won
Taken at −110 on BetMGM
CFB HunterV2Up 0% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Model score distribution centers around 45, 46 points; under 47.5 wins 57% in the scenario set.
- Sharp total is 48 at -115/-115; BetMGM offers under 47.5 at -110, about a 7-point probability edge.
- Samford averages -0.057 EPA/play and a 0.332 success rate; Wofford’s offense has been inconsistent away.
- Expected, not confirmed, QBs are J.T. Fayard and Gabarri Johnson; a late change could materially alter scoring.
- Game total over 50.5−100%Lost
Taken at 48¢ on ProphetX
Key Number CFBUp 13% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Wofford averages +0.1055 offensive EPA/play and 11.1% explosiveness; Samford allows +0.0673 defensive EPA/play across eight 2026 games.
- Personnel gate passed: latest box leaders are J.T. Fayard and Gabarri Johnson; official Samford preview identifies Johnson as the first-year starter, while current game coverage lists Fayard as Wofford's starter.
- Most likely loss: 50 or fewer points; Samford averages only 17.9 points and -0.1243 recent offensive EPA/play.
- Wofford Terriers spread −5.5−100%Lost
Taken at 48¢ on ProphetX
Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 daysWhy it likes it
- Wofford's 2026 offensive EPA averages about +0.154 per play versus Samford's -0.019.
- Wofford's latest defensive EPA allowed was -0.249 and -0.582; Samford's was -0.269 and +0.040.
- SRS rates Wofford -24.3 (162nd) versus Samford -29.9 (185th), a 5.6-point rating gap.
- Samford's home field and a one-score game are the clearest cover risks; Wofford can win without covering.
Win chance, start to finish
50%SAMFWOFFKickoff
Oct 31Final
Questions
Who won Wofford vs. Samford?
The Samford won 10–9 on Saturday, Oct 31, 2026.