Delaware State vs. Norfolk StateFinal score and model picks, graded

FinalLincoln Financial Field
36–33Final
Norfolk State4–4
Score by period
Team1234T
DEL01091736
NORF10716033

Top model pick, graded

Won

Delaware State Hornets to win 55¢

Heater Two-HourDown 9% this season · 145 picks

How the picks did

Models went 1-5 on this game · −70% return

  1. Norfolk State Spartans to win3 models agree
    −100%Lost

    Taken at +105 on Fliff

    3 modelsNFL Sharp Edge, BETALAB 6.0 +1
    Why 3 models like it
    NFL Sharp Edge
    • Norfolk State leads 2026 season offensive EPA/play 0.049 vs Delaware State -0.028.
    • Norfolk State leads success rate 44.3% to 42.5%, explosive rate 13.7% to 12.9%, and points/drive 2.26 to 1.88.
    • Both teams are 4-4, and Norfolk State's most recent game produced only 7 points with two quarterback interceptions.
    BETALAB 6.0
    • Last-five margin: Norfolk State +17.8 points versus Delaware State -9.4; recent EPA/play +0.0922 versus +0.0022.
    • PFF overall grade 78.8 versus 69.3; Norfolk defense grade 80.5 versus Delaware State 70.5.
    • Norfolk's starting quarterback remains unresolved; a current report says the starters are still up in the air, while Da'Jean Golmond is only expected.
    Long Way Home
    • Norfolk State averages +8.5 points per game margin across eight 2026 games; Delaware State averages -4.0.
    • Norfolk State leads in offense: +0.049 EPA/play versus Delaware State's -0.028, plus a 31.75-to-22.0 scoring edge.
    • Norfolk State just lost 22-7 to South Carolina State, while the underlying samples include uneven lower-tier opponents.
  2. Delaware State Hornets to win
    +82%Won

    Taken at 55¢ on Polymarket US

    Heater Two-HourUp 17% last 7 days
  3. Game total under 50.5
    −100%Lost

    Taken at 47¢ on ProphetX

    Key Number CFBUp 13% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Current-season scoring blends 22.0/26.0 for Delaware State and 31.75/23.25 for Norfolk State; EPA matchup inputs are only mildly offensive.
    • PFF defense grades favor Norfolk State 80.5 to 70.5; both teams' latest games produced 12 and 7 points.
    • Pinnacle's captured main total is 51.5, corroborating a lower projection than the quoted 50.5 alternate.
    • Most likely loss: the game reaches 51 or more; the season scoring blend still centers close to the 51.5 market.
  4. Norfolk State spread +1.5
    −100%Lost

    Taken at 50¢ on ProphetX

    Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • The +1.5 contract also wins on one-point losses, yet ProphetX adds only 2.33 probability points versus the ML.
    • Norfolk State averages 31.75 points and +8.5 points/game over eight 2026 games; Delaware State averages 22.0 and -4.0.
    • Norfolk holds the efficiency edge: +0.049 offensive EPA/play and 44.3% success versus Delaware State's -0.028 and 42.5%.
    • Most likely loss: Delaware State wins by at least two points; the statistical edge may reflect schedule differences.

Win chance, start to finish

50%NORFDELKickoff
Oct 31Final

Questions

Who won Delaware State vs. Norfolk State?

The Delaware State won 36–33 on Saturday, Oct 31, 2026.