Campbell vs. UAlbanyFinal score and model picks, graded

FinalBob Ford Field at Tom & Mary Casey Stadium
Campbell7–1
35–45Final
UAlbany5–3
Score by period
Team1234T
CAMP7147735
UALB21107745

Top model pick, graded

Won

Game over 54.5 total points 53¢

Why CFB Heater likes it: Combined totals averaged 63.4 across each team's last five games; four of five cleared 54.5.

CFB HeaterUp 8% return this season · 367 picks

How the picks did

Models went 2-4 on this game · −35% return

  1. Campbell Fighting Camels to win2 models agree
    −100%Lost

    Taken at 56¢ on Kalshi

    2 modelsD1 Winner, Long Way Home
    Why 2 models like it
    D1 Winner
    • Campbell leads recent offense EPA/play 0.1354 to 0.1127 and explosive rate 14.1% to 8.4%.
    • Campbell’s expected QB Kamden Sixkiller has 2,349 yards and 18 TDs; UAlbany’s expected Kai Colon has 1,123 and 11.
    • Both projected lineups are expected, not confirmed; FCS availability coverage is incomplete and no current X injury signal appeared.
    Long Way Home
    • Campbell is 5-0 over its last five with a +18.4 average margin; UAlbany is 3-2 at +5.8.
    • Campbell's latest two wins were 35-6 and 24-20; UAlbany's latest two were 38-21 and 48-31, but Campbell's profile is steadier.
    • Most likely loss: UAlbany's home field and its recent +0.3866 offensive EPA/play produce a tight upset.
  2. Game over 54.5 total points
    +89%Won

    Taken at 53¢ on Polymarket US

    CFB HeaterUp 16% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Combined totals averaged 63.4 across each team's last five games; four of five cleared 54.5.
    • UAlbany's recent scoring includes a 0-point outing; its offense creates meaningful downside variance.
  3. Game under 55.5 total points
    −100%Lost

    Taken at 52¢ on Polymarket US

    BETALAB 6.0Down 4% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Matchup scoring blend projects 51.3 points: Campbell 28.8, UAlbany 22.5.
    • Season scoring averages imply 51.8 combined, nearly four points below 55.5.
    • Last-five defenses allowed 18.2 points (Campbell) and 21.0 (UAlbany).
    • Campbell's recent 11.7% explosive-play rate can produce a fast over.
  4. UAlbany Great Danes spread +2
    +100%Won

    Taken at 50¢ on ProphetX

    Key Number CFBUp 13% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • UAlbany’s defense allows -0.0084 EPA/play versus Campbell’s +0.0031; that offsets Campbell’s offensive EPA edge of 0.1354 to 0.1127.
    • Recent scoring margins are nearly even: Campbell +8.0 per game and UAlbany +7.6, with home field on the Danes’ side.
    • Campbell is 7-1 and owns the better offense; a three-point-or-more Campbell win loses the ticket.
  5. Campbell Fighting Camels spread −2.5
    −100%Lost

    Taken at 52¢ on ProphetX

    Long Way HomeDown 5% last 7 days
    Why it likes it
    • Campbell leads 2026 offense EPA/play, 0.1354 to 0.1127, and explosive rate, 14.1% to 8.4%.
    • Campbell is 5-0 over its last five with a +18.4 average margin; UAlbany is 3-2 at +5.8.
    • ProphetX also prices Campbell -129 on the moneyline; Pinnacle has no posted line, so no sharp reference is claimed.
    • Most likely loss: Campbell wins by one point or UAlbany wins outright, leaving -2.5 uncovered.

Win chance, start to finish

50%UALBCAMPKickoff
Oct 31Final

Questions

Who won Campbell vs. UAlbany?

The UAlbany won 45–35 on Saturday, Oct 31, 2026.